Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended by parliament until May 4, 2026, constitutionally prohibits presidential elections, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position amid the unresolved Russia-Ukraine war. In early March, Zelenskyy reiterated that elections would occur only after the war ends and security guarantees are secured, defying U.S. pressure for a 2026 vote, with the electoral commission deeming fair balloting impossible until six months post-ceasefire. Absent resignation, impeachment, or military coup—none indicated recently—trader consensus reflects an 83.5% implied probability he remains in office through year-end, though stalled peace talks or escalation could alter dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$2,035,921 交易量
$2,035,921 交易量
是
$2,035,921 交易量
$2,035,921 交易量
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended by parliament until May 4, 2026, constitutionally prohibits presidential elections, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position amid the unresolved Russia-Ukraine war. In early March, Zelenskyy reiterated that elections would occur only after the war ends and security guarantees are secured, defying U.S. pressure for a 2026 vote, with the electoral commission deeming fair balloting impossible until six months post-ceasefire. Absent resignation, impeachment, or military coup—none indicated recently—trader consensus reflects an 83.5% implied probability he remains in office through year-end, though stalled peace talks or escalation could alter dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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