Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, secured through his 2024 election victory extending his term until 2030, underpins trader consensus at 96.8% against his departure by June 30. No credible challenges from elites, military, or opposition have emerged, with constitutional barriers to early removal and suppressed dissent reinforcing stability. A leaked March 8 video of Putin coughing during an International Women's Day address briefly reignited health rumors before the Kremlin dismissed it, followed by his continued public appearances, including recent addresses on global logistics amid ongoing Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions. Realistic shifts would require sudden events like a severe health crisis, assassination attempt, or internal coup—low-probability scenarios given his security apparatus and lack of visible fractures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$1,050,369 交易量
$1,050,369 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,050,369 交易量
$1,050,369 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, secured through his 2024 election victory extending his term until 2030, underpins trader consensus at 96.8% against his departure by June 30. No credible challenges from elites, military, or opposition have emerged, with constitutional barriers to early removal and suppressed dissent reinforcing stability. A leaked March 8 video of Putin coughing during an International Women's Day address briefly reignited health rumors before the Kremlin dismissed it, followed by his continued public appearances, including recent addresses on global logistics amid ongoing Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions. Realistic shifts would require sudden events like a severe health crisis, assassination attempt, or internal coup—low-probability scenarios given his security apparatus and lack of visible fractures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,050,369結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, secured through his 2024 election victory extending his term until 2030, underpins trader consensus at 96.8% against his departure by June 30. No credible challenges from elites, military, or opposition have emerged, with constitutional barriers to early removal and suppressed dissent reinforcing stability. A leaked March 8 video of Putin coughing during an International Women's Day address briefly reignited health rumors before the Kremlin dismissed it, followed by his continued public appearances, including recent addresses on global logistics amid ongoing Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions. Realistic shifts would require sudden events like a severe health crisis, assassination attempt, or internal coup—low-probability scenarios given his security apparatus and lack of visible fractures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,050,369結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's presidency, secured through his 2024 election victory extending his term until 2030, underpins trader consensus at 96.8% against his departure by June 30. No credible challenges from elites, military, or opposition have emerged, with constitutional barriers to early removal and suppressed dissent reinforcing stability. A leaked March 8 video of Putin coughing during an International Women's Day address briefly reignited health rumors before the Kremlin dismissed it, followed by his continued public appearances, including recent addresses on global logistics amid ongoing Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions. Realistic shifts would require sudden events like a severe health crisis, assassination attempt, or internal coup—low-probability scenarios given his security apparatus and lack of visible fractures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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