Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia negotiations and entrenched military stalemate, with no ceasefire in sight. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy conditioned any such vote on a prior ceasefire, a stance reinforced by the electoral commission's March ruling out 2026 presidential elections amid martial law extensions. Recent polls, including a March KIIS survey showing 76% rejecting Russia's territorial concession demands, highlight public resistance, despite 61% openness to compromise deals with security guarantees. Russia's three-day-old two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum and Ukraine's request to postpone talks further dim prospects, facing constitutional barriers to wartime referendums and irreconcilable positions on NATO, EU accession, and occupied territories. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face steep hurdles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia negotiations and entrenched military stalemate, with no ceasefire in sight. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy conditioned any such vote on a prior ceasefire, a stance reinforced by the electoral commission's March ruling out 2026 presidential elections amid martial law extensions. Recent polls, including a March KIIS survey showing 76% rejecting Russia's territorial concession demands, highlight public resistance, despite 61% openness to compromise deals with security guarantees. Russia's three-day-old two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum and Ukraine's request to postpone talks further dim prospects, facing constitutional barriers to wartime referendums and irreconcilable positions on NATO, EU accession, and occupied territories. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face steep hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$8,946結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia negotiations and entrenched military stalemate, with no ceasefire in sight. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy conditioned any such vote on a prior ceasefire, a stance reinforced by the electoral commission's March ruling out 2026 presidential elections amid martial law extensions. Recent polls, including a March KIIS survey showing 76% rejecting Russia's territorial concession demands, highlight public resistance, despite 61% openness to compromise deals with security guarantees. Russia's three-day-old two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum and Ukraine's request to postpone talks further dim prospects, facing constitutional barriers to wartime referendums and irreconcilable positions on NATO, EU accession, and occupied territories. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face steep hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,946結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027 stems from stalled trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia negotiations and entrenched military stalemate, with no ceasefire in sight. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy conditioned any such vote on a prior ceasefire, a stance reinforced by the electoral commission's March ruling out 2026 presidential elections amid martial law extensions. Recent polls, including a March KIIS survey showing 76% rejecting Russia's territorial concession demands, highlight public resistance, despite 61% openness to compromise deals with security guarantees. Russia's three-day-old two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum and Ukraine's request to postpone talks further dim prospects, facing constitutional barriers to wartime referendums and irreconcilable positions on NATO, EU accession, and occupied territories. Late breakthroughs remain possible but face steep hurdles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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