Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% due to Ukraine's unwavering pursuit of NATO membership without any official pledges or agreements to delay accession before 2027. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated on March 26 that membership is not a current priority amid the ongoing war but reaffirmed Ukraine's irreversible path to the alliance, warning Russia of severe consequences for future aggression. President Zelenskyy's April 4 visit to Istanbul emphasized deeper security cooperation with NATO member Turkey, signaling no concessions in stalled peace talks. Recent U.S. threats to NATO under President Trump have prompted Kyiv's envoy to advocate reinventing the alliance for faster Ukraine integration, reinforcing low odds of a moratorium.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$78,572 交易量
$78,572 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$78,572 交易量
$78,572 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% due to Ukraine's unwavering pursuit of NATO membership without any official pledges or agreements to delay accession before 2027. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated on March 26 that membership is not a current priority amid the ongoing war but reaffirmed Ukraine's irreversible path to the alliance, warning Russia of severe consequences for future aggression. President Zelenskyy's April 4 visit to Istanbul emphasized deeper security cooperation with NATO member Turkey, signaling no concessions in stalled peace talks. Recent U.S. threats to NATO under President Trump have prompted Kyiv's envoy to advocate reinventing the alliance for faster Ukraine integration, reinforcing low odds of a moratorium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
交易量
$78,572結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% due to Ukraine's unwavering pursuit of NATO membership without any official pledges or agreements to delay accession before 2027. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated on March 26 that membership is not a current priority amid the ongoing war but reaffirmed Ukraine's irreversible path to the alliance, warning Russia of severe consequences for future aggression. President Zelenskyy's April 4 visit to Istanbul emphasized deeper security cooperation with NATO member Turkey, signaling no concessions in stalled peace talks. Recent U.S. threats to NATO under President Trump have prompted Kyiv's envoy to advocate reinventing the alliance for faster Ukraine integration, reinforcing low odds of a moratorium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
交易量
$78,572結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 82.5% due to Ukraine's unwavering pursuit of NATO membership without any official pledges or agreements to delay accession before 2027. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated on March 26 that membership is not a current priority amid the ongoing war but reaffirmed Ukraine's irreversible path to the alliance, warning Russia of severe consequences for future aggression. President Zelenskyy's April 4 visit to Istanbul emphasized deeper security cooperation with NATO member Turkey, signaling no concessions in stalled peace talks. Recent U.S. threats to NATO under President Trump have prompted Kyiv's envoy to advocate reinventing the alliance for faster Ukraine integration, reinforcing low odds of a moratorium.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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