Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% for Putin and Zelenskyy shaking hands by June 30, driven by the absence of any direct bilateral diplomacy amid stalled US-brokered peace talks and persistent military escalations. February's trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US negotiations concluded without breakthrough, while March saw both sides claim front-line advances and talks placed on hold following strikes, underscoring irreconcilable positions: Putin's demands for territorial recognition versus Zelenskyy's insistence on full withdrawal, ceasefire first, and NATO security guarantees. No summits are scheduled in the next three months, reflecting deep mistrust since early 2022 talks collapsed. A dramatic de-escalation, surprise mediation, or major concession could still alter odds, though barriers remain high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% for Putin and Zelenskyy shaking hands by June 30, driven by the absence of any direct bilateral diplomacy amid stalled US-brokered peace talks and persistent military escalations. February's trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US negotiations concluded without breakthrough, while March saw both sides claim front-line advances and talks placed on hold following strikes, underscoring irreconcilable positions: Putin's demands for territorial recognition versus Zelenskyy's insistence on full withdrawal, ceasefire first, and NATO security guarantees. No summits are scheduled in the next three months, reflecting deep mistrust since early 2022 talks collapsed. A dramatic de-escalation, surprise mediation, or major concession could still alter odds, though barriers remain high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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