Ukrainian long-range drone and missile strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries, ports, and southern regions like Rostov and Belgorod in recent days, killing at least one and wounding others on April 4, but none have impacted Moscow municipality's ground territory. Russian air defenses intercepted over 180 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow during March 14-16, the most significant recent incursion, preventing qualifying action under market criteria. Moscow's layered defenses around the capital, combined with Russia's spring offensive featuring record drone barrages—nearly 500 in the past day—have kept Ukraine focused on peripheral targets. Zelenskyy's Easter ceasefire signals offer de-escalation potential, though ongoing escalations maintain uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$142,733 交易量
2026-04-15
4月15日
2%
4月30日
7%
$142,733 交易量
4月15日
$963 交易量
2%
4月30日
$2,227 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian long-range drone and missile strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries, ports, and southern regions like Rostov and Belgorod in recent days, killing at least one and wounding others on April 4, but none have impacted Moscow municipality's ground territory. Russian air defenses intercepted over 180 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow during March 14-16, the most significant recent incursion, preventing qualifying action under market criteria. Moscow's layered defenses around the capital, combined with Russia's spring offensive featuring record drone barrages—nearly 500 in the past day—have kept Ukraine focused on peripheral targets. Zelenskyy's Easter ceasefire signals offer de-escalation potential, though ongoing escalations maintain uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$142,733結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian long-range drone and missile strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries, ports, and southern regions like Rostov and Belgorod in recent days, killing at least one and wounding others on April 4, but none have impacted Moscow municipality's ground territory. Russian air defenses intercepted over 180 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow during March 14-16, the most significant recent incursion, preventing qualifying action under market criteria. Moscow's layered defenses around the capital, combined with Russia's spring offensive featuring record drone barrages—nearly 500 in the past day—have kept Ukraine focused on peripheral targets. Zelenskyy's Easter ceasefire signals offer de-escalation potential, though ongoing escalations maintain uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$142,733結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian long-range drone and missile strikes have targeted Russian oil refineries, ports, and southern regions like Rostov and Belgorod in recent days, killing at least one and wounding others on April 4, but none have impacted Moscow municipality's ground territory. Russian air defenses intercepted over 180 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow during March 14-16, the most significant recent incursion, preventing qualifying action under market criteria. Moscow's layered defenses around the capital, combined with Russia's spring offensive featuring record drone barrages—nearly 500 in the past day—have kept Ukraine focused on peripheral targets. Zelenskyy's Easter ceasefire signals offer de-escalation potential, though ongoing escalations maintain uncertainty ahead of April deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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