Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April meeting, reflecting consensus on sustained disinflation after the central bank's seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20, amid February annual inflation slowing to around 5.9% and a 2026 forecast of 4.5-5.5%. Moderating domestic demand pressures and falling household inflation expectations have solidified this easing path, with real capital backing the crowded trade. Hawkish risks persist from ruble volatility or renewed geopolitical tensions, such as Middle East conflicts, which could prompt a hold if upcoming March CPI data surprises higher ahead of the late-April decision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於下調 94%
維持不變 5%
上調 <1%
$55,506 交易量
$55,506 交易量
下調
94%
維持不變
5%
上調
1%
下調 94%
維持不變 5%
上調 <1%
$55,506 交易量
$55,506 交易量
下調
94%
維持不變
5%
上調
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 94% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April meeting, reflecting consensus on sustained disinflation after the central bank's seventh consecutive 50 basis point cut to 15% on March 20, amid February annual inflation slowing to around 5.9% and a 2026 forecast of 4.5-5.5%. Moderating domestic demand pressures and falling household inflation expectations have solidified this easing path, with real capital backing the crowded trade. Hawkish risks persist from ruble volatility or renewed geopolitical tensions, such as Middle East conflicts, which could prompt a hold if upcoming March CPI data surprises higher ahead of the late-April decision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions