Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to a March 2026 average retail price of $2.25–$2.50 per dozen Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained supply normalization after 2025's avian influenza outbreaks culled flocks. Bureau of Labor Statistics data pegged February's national average at $2.50, down 60% from March 2025's $6.23 peak, buoyed by layer hen inventories expanding to 308 million amid fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza cases. USDA's April 3 Egg Markets Overview confirms wholesale loose prices plunging 61% weekly to $0.46 per dozen, with ample stocks and fading Easter demand exerting downward pressure; conventional caged ad prices averaged $1.61. Upcoming April CPI release could confirm trajectory, though isolated bird flu risks linger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2.25–2.50 69%
$2.50–2.75 18%
$2.00–2.25 6.9%
<$2.00 1.8%
$398,715 交易量
$398,715 交易量
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
69%
$2.50–2.75
18%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 69%
$2.50–2.75 18%
$2.00–2.25 6.9%
<$2.00 1.8%
$398,715 交易量
$398,715 交易量
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
69%
$2.50–2.75
18%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
市場開放時間: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to a March 2026 average retail price of $2.25–$2.50 per dozen Grade A large eggs, reflecting sustained supply normalization after 2025's avian influenza outbreaks culled flocks. Bureau of Labor Statistics data pegged February's national average at $2.50, down 60% from March 2025's $6.23 peak, buoyed by layer hen inventories expanding to 308 million amid fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza cases. USDA's April 3 Egg Markets Overview confirms wholesale loose prices plunging 61% weekly to $0.46 per dozen, with ample stocks and fading Easter demand exerting downward pressure; conventional caged ad prices averaged $1.61. Upcoming April CPI release could confirm trajectory, though isolated bird flu risks linger.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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