Polymarket traders, wagering real capital on the March 2026 average U.S. retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs per BLS Consumer Price Index data, assign a 68.5% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from last year's avian influenza outbreaks that drove peaks above $6 per dozen. February 2026 CPI reported $2.50 per dozen—a 3% monthly drop from January's $2.577 and 42% below March 2025 highs—bolstered by USDA wholesale prices plunging to $0.46 per dozen on April 3 amid ample flocks and post-Easter demand normalization. The 18% odds on $2.50–2.75 capture modest upside risk from any lingering volatility, with trader consensus pricing in further moderation ahead of the mid-April March CPI release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2.25–2.50 68%
$2.50–2.75 18%
$2.00–2.25 6.9%
<$2.00 1.8%
$398,721 交易量
$398,721 交易量
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
68%
$2.50–2.75
18%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 68%
$2.50–2.75 18%
$2.00–2.25 6.9%
<$2.00 1.8%
$398,721 交易量
$398,721 交易量
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
68%
$2.50–2.75
18%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
市場開放時間: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital on the March 2026 average U.S. retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs per BLS Consumer Price Index data, assign a 68.5% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from last year's avian influenza outbreaks that drove peaks above $6 per dozen. February 2026 CPI reported $2.50 per dozen—a 3% monthly drop from January's $2.577 and 42% below March 2025 highs—bolstered by USDA wholesale prices plunging to $0.46 per dozen on April 3 amid ample flocks and post-Easter demand normalization. The 18% odds on $2.50–2.75 capture modest upside risk from any lingering volatility, with trader consensus pricing in further moderation ahead of the mid-April March CPI release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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