Skip to main content
icon for 加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？
經濟艙·加拿大

加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？

icon for 加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？
經濟艙·加拿大

加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？

是

8% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

8% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's labor market has shown notable resilience in 2026, with the unemployment rate declining to 6.6% in May from 6.9% in April amid stronger-than-expected job gains of 87,800. This follows a period of modest softening earlier in the year but remains well below the 7.1% peaks seen in 2025 and far from crisis levels like the 9.7% annual average in 2020. Recent data releases highlight employment recovery offsetting prior weakness, supported by stable participation rates around 65% and Bank of Canada policy at 2.25%. While tariffs, energy prices, and slower GDP growth pose downside risks that could push rates toward 7% later in the year, current trends and consensus forecasts indicate limited likelihood of surpassing post-2016 highs, underpinning the 92% market-implied probability on "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.

Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
交易量
$6,916
結束日期
2027-02-15
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's labor market has shown notable resilience in 2026, with the unemployment rate declining to 6.6% in May from 6.9% in April amid stronger-than-expected job gains of 87,800. This follows a period of modest softening earlier in the year but remains well below the 7.1% peaks seen in 2025 and far from crisis levels like the 9.7% annual average in 2020. Recent data releases highlight employment recovery offsetting prior weakness, supported by stable participation rates around 65% and Bank of Canada policy at 2.25%. While tariffs, energy prices, and slower GDP growth pose downside risks that could push rates toward 7% later in the year, current trends and consensus forecasts indicate limited likelihood of surpassing post-2016 highs, underpinning the 92% market-implied probability on "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.

Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
交易量
$6,916
結束日期
2027-02-15
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加拿大今年的失業率會是自2016年以來最高嗎？" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？" is "加拿大今年的失業率會是自2016年以來最高嗎？" at just 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.