Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting February's rise to 6.7%—up 0.2 percentage points amid 83,900 net job losses—as a softening rather than a surge, with the rate still below May 2025's 7.0% peak labeled the highest non-pandemic level since 2016. Bank of Canada projections and economist forecasts from RBC and National Bank anticipate stabilization at 6.3%-6.8% through year-end, tempered by immigration curbs curbing labor demand growth without triggering spikes. Key catalysts include the March Labour Force Survey due early April and Q2 economic data, which could shift sentiment if job losses accelerate beyond expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2027-02-15
是
最新
最新
2027-02-15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting February's rise to 6.7%—up 0.2 percentage points amid 83,900 net job losses—as a softening rather than a surge, with the rate still below May 2025's 7.0% peak labeled the highest non-pandemic level since 2016. Bank of Canada projections and economist forecasts from RBC and National Bank anticipate stabilization at 6.3%-6.8% through year-end, tempered by immigration curbs curbing labor demand growth without triggering spikes. Key catalysts include the March Labour Force Survey due early April and Q2 economic data, which could shift sentiment if job losses accelerate beyond expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
交易量
$5,576結束日期
2027-02-15市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting February's rise to 6.7%—up 0.2 percentage points amid 83,900 net job losses—as a softening rather than a surge, with the rate still below May 2025's 7.0% peak labeled the highest non-pandemic level since 2016. Bank of Canada projections and economist forecasts from RBC and National Bank anticipate stabilization at 6.3%-6.8% through year-end, tempered by immigration curbs curbing labor demand growth without triggering spikes. Key catalysts include the March Labour Force Survey due early April and Q2 economic data, which could shift sentiment if job losses accelerate beyond expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
交易量
$5,576結束日期
2027-02-15市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability against Canada recording its highest monthly unemployment rate since 2016 in 2026, reflecting February's rise to 6.7%—up 0.2 percentage points amid 83,900 net job losses—as a softening rather than a surge, with the rate still below May 2025's 7.0% peak labeled the highest non-pandemic level since 2016. Bank of Canada projections and economist forecasts from RBC and National Bank anticipate stabilization at 6.3%-6.8% through year-end, tempered by immigration curbs curbing labor demand growth without triggering spikes. Key catalysts include the March Labour Force Survey due early April and Q2 economic data, which could shift sentiment if job losses accelerate beyond expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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