Statistics Canada's March 18 release confirmed Canada's first annual population decline on record in 2025, down over 100,000 people or 0.2% year-over-year to January 1, 2026—the largest since World War II—driven by a sharp exodus of non-permanent residents amid federal caps on international students and temporary workers. The Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat population growth for full-year 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, targeting 380,000 permanent residents annually and further non-permanent resident reductions, implying any 2026 drop would likely fall short of 2025's record magnitude. Traders' 56% consensus on "No" reflects these stabilizing policy measures and forecasts, with quarterly estimates through year-end potentially influencing sentiment ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statistics Canada's March 18 release confirmed Canada's first annual population decline on record in 2025, down over 100,000 people or 0.2% year-over-year to January 1, 2026—the largest since World War II—driven by a sharp exodus of non-permanent residents amid federal caps on international students and temporary workers. The Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat population growth for full-year 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, targeting 380,000 permanent residents annually and further non-permanent resident reductions, implying any 2026 drop would likely fall short of 2025's record magnitude. Traders' 56% consensus on "No" reflects these stabilizing policy measures and forecasts, with quarterly estimates through year-end potentially influencing sentiment ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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