Market icon
經濟艙·非農工資

3月份新增了多少工作？

Market icon
經濟艙·非農工資

3月份新增了多少工作？

4月 3

4月 3

10萬+ 43%

5萬 – 10萬 26%

0 – 5萬 20%

-5萬 – 0 13%

Polymarket

$23,202 交易量

10萬+ 43%

5萬 – 10萬 26%

0 – 5萬 20%

-5萬 – 0 13%

Polymarket

$23,202 交易量

<-15萬

$3,145 交易量

1%

-15萬 – -10萬

$1,254 交易量

4%

-10萬 – -5萬

$1,262 交易量

1%

-5萬 – 0

$1,940 交易量

13%

0 – 5萬

$1,362 交易量

20%

5萬 – 10萬

$6,847 交易量

26%

10萬+

$7,392 交易量

37%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls, with 100k+ jobs added implying 36.5% probability amid downside risks reflected in lower buckets like 50k–100k at 25.5% and 0–50k at 19.5%. This positioning stems from February's distorted -92,000 print—blamed on severe weather and strikes—contrasted by leading indicators: ADP reported +62,000 private payrolls on April 1 (beating prior slump), initial jobless claims fell to 202,000 for the week ending March 28, though ISM manufacturing employment ticked lower to 48.7. Consensus economist forecasts cluster around +55,000–60,000, but traders bet on upside surprises ahead of today's 8:30 a.m. ET Bureau of Labor Statistics release, which could sway Fed rate cut expectations amid 4.4% unemployment stability.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$23,202
結束日期
2026-04-03
市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest rebound in March nonfarm payrolls, with 100k+ jobs added implying 36.5% probability amid downside risks reflected in lower buckets like 50k–100k at 25.5% and 0–50k at 19.5%. This positioning stems from February's distorted -92,000 print—blamed on severe weather and strikes—contrasted by leading indicators: ADP reported +62,000 private payrolls on April 1 (beating prior slump), initial jobless claims fell to 202,000 for the week ending March 28, though ISM manufacturing employment ticked lower to 48.7. Consensus economist forecasts cluster around +55,000–60,000, but traders bet on upside surprises ahead of today's 8:30 a.m. ET Bureau of Labor Statistics release, which could sway Fed rate cut expectations amid 4.4% unemployment stability.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
交易量
$23,202
結束日期
2026-04-03
市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月份新增了多少工作？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10萬+" at 37%, followed by "5萬 – 10萬" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月份新增了多少工作？" has generated $23.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月份新增了多少工作？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月份新增了多少工作？" is "10萬+" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5萬 – 10萬" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月份新增了多少工作？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.