3月失業率

Name: 3月失業率
Start: 2026-02-13T22:05:30.310Z
End: 2026-04-03T00:00:00.000Z

經濟艙·NFP

3月失業率

4月 3

4.4% 40%

4.5% 25%

4.3% 18%

4.6% 7.9%

$171,626 交易量

2026-04-03

≤3.9%

$6,645 交易量

<1%

4.0%

$108,412 交易量

<1%

4.1%

$5,116 交易量

4.2%

$11,111 交易量

4.3%

$5,110 交易量

18%

4.4%

$5,669 交易量

40%

4.5%

$6,193 交易量

25%

4.6%

$9,417 交易量

大於或等於4.7%

$13,954 交易量

4.4% 40%

4.5% 25%

4.3% 18%

4.6% 7.9%

$171,626 交易量

2026-04-03

≤3.9%

$6,645 交易量

<1%

4.0%

$108,412 交易量

<1%

4.1%

$5,116 交易量

4.2%

$11,111 交易量

4.3%

$5,110 交易量

18%

4.4%

$5,669 交易量

40%

4.5%

$6,193 交易量

25%

4.6%

$9,417 交易量

大於或等於4.7%

$13,954 交易量

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月失業率" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4.4%" at 40%, followed by "4.5%" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月失業率" has generated $171.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月失業率," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月失業率" is "4.4%" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4.5%" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月失業率" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "3月失業率." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $171.6K traded on “3月失業率,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "3月失業率," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 40¢ for "4.4%" in the "3月失業率" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 40% chance that "4.4%" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 40¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 60¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "3月失業率" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "3月失業率" market has an active community of 48 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "3月失業率." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

3月失業率

3月失業率

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (48)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "3月失業率" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "3月失業率" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "3月失業率"?

What are the current odds for "3月失業率"?

How will "3月失業率" be resolved?

Can I follow "3月失業率" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "3月失業率" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "3月失業率"?

What does a price of 40¢ for "4.4%" mean?

When does the "3月失業率" market close?

What are traders saying about "3月失業率"?

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