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經濟艙·房地產·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

4月30日，德州奧斯汀都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？

Market icon
經濟艙·房地產·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

4月30日，德州奧斯汀都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？

<415k 56%

415 - 419k 16%

419 - 423k 7%

423 - 427k 6%

Polymarket
最新

<415k 56%

415 - 419k 16%

419 - 423k 7%

423 - 427k 6%

Polymarket
最新

<415k

$282 交易量

56%

415 - 419k

$0 交易量

16%

419 - 423k

$0 交易量

7%

423 - 427k

$0 交易量

6%

427 - 431k

$0 交易量

6%

431 - 435k

$0 交易量

6%

435 - 439k

$0 交易量

6%

>439k

$0 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for the Austin metro median home value falling below $415,000 on April 30, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index adjusted for 2,100 square feet median size, reflecting persistent downward momentum from elevated inventory and weakening demand. Recent February data showed Zillow's Home Value Index at $424,642 for Austin-Round Rock, down 5.9% year-over-year, while Parcl indicates a steeper -7.6% drop year-to-date, centering near the $410,000–$415,000 range amid 91 days on market—the longest since 2011—and rising listings to over 12,000. March reports signal modest stabilization in median sales around $436,000 but no rebound, with buyers gaining leverage; spring demand could test this trajectory ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
交易量
$282
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for the Austin metro median home value falling below $415,000 on April 30, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index adjusted for 2,100 square feet median size, reflecting persistent downward momentum from elevated inventory and weakening demand. Recent February data showed Zillow's Home Value Index at $424,642 for Austin-Round Rock, down 5.9% year-over-year, while Parcl indicates a steeper -7.6% drop year-to-date, centering near the $410,000–$415,000 range amid 91 days on market—the longest since 2011—and rising listings to over 12,000. March reports signal modest stabilization in median sales around $436,000 but no rebound, with buyers gaining leverage; spring demand could test this trajectory ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
交易量
$282
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月30日，德州奧斯汀都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<415k" at 56%, followed by "415 - 419k" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"4月30日，德州奧斯汀都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "4月30日，德州奧斯汀都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月30日，德州奧斯汀都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" is "<415k" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "415 - 419k" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月30日，德州奧斯汀都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.