Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 2026 Mexico annual headline inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 27.5% edging 5.00%-5.49% (25.6%) and 4.00%-4.49% (23.0%), reflecting sticky price pressures despite Banxico's 3% target. Accelerating inflation to 4.63% year-over-year in early March—driven by food and energy—and core rates holding near 4.5% prompted a split 3-2 rate cut to 6.75% on March 26, as the central bank forecasts Q4 2026 average at 3.5% while private analysts revised end-year estimates to 4.21%. Competitive dynamics hinge on full March CPI data due soon and the May 7 Banxico meeting, where peso volatility or wage growth could tip odds higher if disinflation falters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4.50%到4.99% 28%
5.00%至5.49% 25.6%
4.00%至4.49% 23%
3.50%至3.99% 22%
$33,991 交易量
$33,991 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
5%
2.50%至2.99%
3%
3.00% 至 3.49%
12%
3.50%至3.99%
22%
4.00%至4.49%
23%
4.50%到4.99%
28%
5.00%至5.49%
26%
5.50% 以上
8%
4.50%到4.99% 28%
5.00%至5.49% 25.6%
4.00%至4.49% 23%
3.50%至3.99% 22%
$33,991 交易量
$33,991 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
$0 交易量
5%
2.50%至2.99%
$0 交易量
3%
3.00% 至 3.49%
$25,641 交易量
12%
3.50%至3.99%
$250 交易量
22%
4.00%至4.49%
$346 交易量
23%
4.50%到4.99%
$3,037 交易量
28%
5.00%至5.49%
$401 交易量
26%
5.50% 以上
$4,316 交易量
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader consensus on Polymarket prices 2026 Mexico annual headline inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 27.5% edging 5.00%-5.49% (25.6%) and 4.00%-4.49% (23.0%), reflecting sticky price pressures despite Banxico's 3% target. Accelerating inflation to 4.63% year-over-year in early March—driven by food and energy—and core rates holding near 4.5% prompted a split 3-2 rate cut to 6.75% on March 26, as the central bank forecasts Q4 2026 average at 3.5% while private analysts revised end-year estimates to 4.21%. Competitive dynamics hinge on full March CPI data due soon and the May 7 Banxico meeting, where peso volatility or wage growth could tip odds higher if disinflation falters.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
市場開放時間： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$33,991結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioTrader consensus on Polymarket prices 2026 Mexico annual headline inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 27.5% edging 5.00%-5.49% (25.6%) and 4.00%-4.49% (23.0%), reflecting sticky price pressures despite Banxico's 3% target. Accelerating inflation to 4.63% year-over-year in early March—driven by food and energy—and core rates holding near 4.5% prompted a split 3-2 rate cut to 6.75% on March 26, as the central bank forecasts Q4 2026 average at 3.5% while private analysts revised end-year estimates to 4.21%. Competitive dynamics hinge on full March CPI data due soon and the May 7 Banxico meeting, where peso volatility or wage growth could tip odds higher if disinflation falters.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
交易量
$33,991結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 2026 Mexico annual headline inflation in a tight race, with 4.50%-4.99% at 27.5% edging 5.00%-5.49% (25.6%) and 4.00%-4.49% (23.0%), reflecting sticky price pressures despite Banxico's 3% target. Accelerating inflation to 4.63% year-over-year in early March—driven by food and energy—and core rates holding near 4.5% prompted a split 3-2 rate cut to 6.75% on March 26, as the central bank forecasts Q4 2026 average at 3.5% while private analysts revised end-year estimates to 4.21%. Competitive dynamics hinge on full March CPI data due soon and the May 7 Banxico meeting, where peso volatility or wage growth could tip odds higher if disinflation falters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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