Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.8% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at 5.25% for the April 6–8, 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting consensus on maintaining a restrictive stance amid escalating inflation risks from West Asia tensions and surging crude oil prices that pressured the rupee. February 2026 CPI inflation rose to a 10-month high of 3.21%—still within the 4% target midpoint with tolerance band—while RBI's FY26 GDP growth forecast was upgraded to 7.4% on resilient domestic demand. This positioning balances growth support against imported inflation, though a sharper March CPI print post-decision or abrupt growth deceleration could prompt a reassessment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於維持不變 97.9%
增加 1.9%
下調 <1%
$21,647 交易量
$21,647 交易量
下調
<1%
維持不變
98%
增加
2%
維持不變 97.9%
增加 1.9%
下調 <1%
$21,647 交易量
$21,647 交易量
下調
<1%
維持不變
98%
增加
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.8% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of India's repo rate at 5.25% for the April 6–8, 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting consensus on maintaining a restrictive stance amid escalating inflation risks from West Asia tensions and surging crude oil prices that pressured the rupee. February 2026 CPI inflation rose to a 10-month high of 3.21%—still within the 4% target midpoint with tolerance band—while RBI's FY26 GDP growth forecast was upgraded to 7.4% on resilient domestic demand. This positioning balances growth support against imported inflation, though a sharper March CPI print post-decision or abrupt growth deceleration could prompt a reassessment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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