Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.6% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% at the April 10 meeting, marking a potential sixth consecutive pause after the February decision amid balanced economic risks. March CPI rose 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—while the central bank's April 2 price review flagged broadening inflation pressures post-April from Middle East tensions, yet affirmed a neutral monetary policy stance with 2026 GDP and CPI forecasts at 2.0% and 2.2%. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected inflation surge prompting a rare hike or sudden growth slowdown triggering a cut, though such tail risks remain minimal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於維持不變 98.6%
上調 1.4%
下調 <1%
$52,373 交易量
$52,373 交易量
下調
<1%
維持不變
99%
上調
1%
維持不變 98.6%
上調 1.4%
下調 <1%
$52,373 交易量
$52,373 交易量
下調
<1%
維持不變
99%
上調
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.6% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% at the April 10 meeting, marking a potential sixth consecutive pause after the February decision amid balanced economic risks. March CPI rose 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.4% forecast—while the central bank's April 2 price review flagged broadening inflation pressures post-April from Middle East tensions, yet affirmed a neutral monetary policy stance with 2026 GDP and CPI forecasts at 2.0% and 2.2%. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected inflation surge prompting a rare hike or sudden growth slowdown triggering a cut, though such tail risks remain minimal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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