Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at 2.50% for its May 2026 decision, reflecting balanced economic risks after March CPI rose modestly to 2.2% year-on-year—below the 2.3% median forecast—despite oil-driven pressures from Middle East tensions. The central bank's February hold, now its sixth consecutive, came with upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth at 2.0% and CPI at 2.2%, bolstered by robust semiconductor exports, while a new dot-plot forward guidance signals stability through at least August. A 19% chance of increase stems from persistent inflation risks and the incoming governor's emphasis on balanced policy amid a weakening won; cuts at 2% remain off the table given steady growth momentum. Traders eye the April 10 meeting as a key precursor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於No Change 80%
Increase 19%
Decrease 2.1%
$17,026 交易量
$17,026 交易量
Decrease
2%
No Change
80%
Increase
19%
No Change 80%
Increase 19%
Decrease 2.1%
$17,026 交易量
$17,026 交易量
Decrease
2%
No Change
80%
Increase
19%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at 2.50% for its May 2026 decision, reflecting balanced economic risks after March CPI rose modestly to 2.2% year-on-year—below the 2.3% median forecast—despite oil-driven pressures from Middle East tensions. The central bank's February hold, now its sixth consecutive, came with upward revisions to 2026 GDP growth at 2.0% and CPI at 2.2%, bolstered by robust semiconductor exports, while a new dot-plot forward guidance signals stability through at least August. A 19% chance of increase stems from persistent inflation risks and the incoming governor's emphasis on balanced policy amid a weakening won; cuts at 2% remain off the table given steady growth momentum. Traders eye the April 10 meeting as a key precursor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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