Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability for a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April Copom meeting, following the committee's unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18—the first easing in two years amid February IPCA inflation slowing to 3.81% year-over-year. Copom minutes released March 24 struck a cautious tone, raising the 2026 inflation forecast to 3.9% due to oil price shocks from Middle East tensions, while March IPCA-15 rose 0.44% month-over-month above expectations, bolstering 15.5% odds for no change amid upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth projections around 2% and rising unemployment support easing continuation, with full March IPCA data and the late-April meeting as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於下調 83%
無變動 17%
提高 <1%
$198,153 交易量
$198,153 交易量
提高
1%
無變動
17%
下調
83%
下調 83%
無變動 17%
提高 <1%
$198,153 交易量
$198,153 交易量
提高
1%
無變動
17%
下調
83%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability for a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the April Copom meeting, following the committee's unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18—the first easing in two years amid February IPCA inflation slowing to 3.81% year-over-year. Copom minutes released March 24 struck a cautious tone, raising the 2026 inflation forecast to 3.9% due to oil price shocks from Middle East tensions, while March IPCA-15 rose 0.44% month-over-month above expectations, bolstering 15.5% odds for no change amid upside risks. Weak Q1 GDP growth projections around 2% and rising unemployment support easing continuation, with full March IPCA data and the late-April meeting as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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