Polymarket traders price a 49% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting upside risks from surging global oil prices amid Middle East tensions that drove March 2026 CPI to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% consensus. The Bank of Korea (BoK) raised its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.2% from 2.1%, holding policy rate steady at 2.5%, while noting post-April acceleration; OECD lifted its projection to 2.7% from 1.8%. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, tempering views, yet contested odds versus <1.5% (23.5%) highlight energy pass-through uncertainties ahead of April CPI and BoK meetings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3.0%+ 49%
1.8% to 2.0% 19%
2.4% to 2.6% 19%
<1.5% 18.0%
$10,008 交易量
$10,008 交易量
<1.5%
25%
1.5% to 1.7%
22%
1.8% to 2.0%
19%
2.1% to 2.3%
14%
2.4% to 2.6%
19%
2.7% to 2.9%
1%
3.0%+
49%
3.0%+ 49%
1.8% to 2.0% 19%
2.4% to 2.6% 19%
<1.5% 18.0%
$10,008 交易量
$10,008 交易量
<1.5%
25%
1.5% to 1.7%
22%
1.8% to 2.0%
19%
2.1% to 2.3%
14%
2.4% to 2.6%
19%
2.7% to 2.9%
1%
3.0%+
49%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
市場開放時間: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 49% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting upside risks from surging global oil prices amid Middle East tensions that drove March 2026 CPI to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% consensus. The Bank of Korea (BoK) raised its 2026 CPI forecast to 2.2% from 2.1%, holding policy rate steady at 2.5%, while noting post-April acceleration; OECD lifted its projection to 2.7% from 1.8%. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, tempering views, yet contested odds versus <1.5% (23.5%) highlight energy pass-through uncertainties ahead of April CPI and BoK meetings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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