Market icon
世界·烏克蘭

烏克蘭選舉由...舉行？

Market icon
世界·烏克蘭

烏克蘭選舉由...舉行？

$2,013,233 交易量

2025-12-31
Polymarket

$2,013,233 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$251,167 交易量

3%

2026年12月31日

$172,637 交易量

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential or parliamentary elections during martial law, which the Verkhovna Rada has extended 18 times since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, most recently until May 4, 2026, amid ongoing frontline fighting and mobilization needs. President Zelenskyy's term expired in May 2024 but continues legally under these conditions. In March 2026, Zelensky stated elections would occur only after the war ends completely, while the Central Election Commission ruled out a fair vote in 2026, requiring at least six months post-ceasefire for voter registration and security. Traders watch for potential U.S. pressure or peace talks, with the next martial law vote due in early May likely to prolong the ban.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,013,233
結束日期
2025-12-31
市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2025, 7:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential or parliamentary elections during martial law, which the Verkhovna Rada has extended 18 times since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, most recently until May 4, 2026, amid ongoing frontline fighting and mobilization needs. President Zelenskyy's term expired in May 2024 but continues legally under these conditions. In March 2026, Zelensky stated elections would occur only after the war ends completely, while the Central Election Commission ruled out a fair vote in 2026, requiring at least six months post-ceasefire for voter registration and security. Traders watch for potential U.S. pressure or peace talks, with the next martial law vote due in early May likely to prolong the ban.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,013,233
結束日期
2025-12-31
市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2025, 7:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"烏克蘭選舉由...舉行？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 22%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "烏克蘭選舉由...舉行？" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "烏克蘭選舉由...舉行？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "烏克蘭選舉由...舉行？" is "2026年12月31日" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "烏克蘭選舉由...舉行？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.