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政治·特朗普

Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？

是

6% 機率
Polymarket

$41,896 交易量

是

6% 機率
Polymarket

$41,896 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no revocation of Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship at 94.5%, reflecting the absence of any official U.S. government actions or proceedings despite heightened scrutiny following her medal-winning performances for China at the February 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Criticism from figures like Vice President JD Vance and public backlash over her political comments and dual nationality questions peaked in mid-February, yet no State Department announcements, DOJ investigations, or court filings have emerged to challenge her birthright U.S. status, which requires extraordinary grounds like naturalization fraud— inapplicable here. Without procedural catalysts such as formal charges or expatriation records, traders view revocation as improbable barring unforeseen legal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$41,896
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no revocation of Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship at 94.5%, reflecting the absence of any official U.S. government actions or proceedings despite heightened scrutiny following her medal-winning performances for China at the February 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Criticism from figures like Vice President JD Vance and public backlash over her political comments and dual nationality questions peaked in mid-February, yet no State Department announcements, DOJ investigations, or court filings have emerged to challenge her birthright U.S. status, which requires extraordinary grounds like naturalization fraud— inapplicable here. Without procedural catalysts such as formal charges or expatriation records, traders view revocation as improbable barring unforeseen legal developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$41,896
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

" Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "谷愛凌被撤銷國籍了嗎？" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" has generated $41.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for " Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" is "谷愛凌被撤銷國籍了嗎？" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for " Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.