Ukraine's presidential election remains suspended under martial law imposed since Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion, which constitutionally bars national votes amid active hostilities. The Central Election Commission ruled in mid-March 2026 that no fair election can occur in 2026, requiring at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations—a stance defying U.S. pressure from the Trump administration to tie polls to peace negotiations. With Zelenskyy's term extended by parliament, trader consensus reflects low near-term probabilities, hinging on de-escalation signals, diplomatic breakthroughs, or martial law extensions via upcoming Rada votes. Absent a ceasefire or legal reforms, resolution favors later timelines or no vote by mid-2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,463,063 交易量

2026年6月30日
9%
$1,463,063 交易量

2026年6月30日
9%
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 23, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's presidential election remains suspended under martial law imposed since Russia's 2022 full-scale invasion, which constitutionally bars national votes amid active hostilities. The Central Election Commission ruled in mid-March 2026 that no fair election can occur in 2026, requiring at least six months post-ceasefire for preparations—a stance defying U.S. pressure from the Trump administration to tie polls to peace negotiations. With Zelenskyy's term extended by parliament, trader consensus reflects low near-term probabilities, hinging on de-escalation signals, diplomatic breakthroughs, or martial law extensions via upcoming Rada votes. Absent a ceasefire or legal reforms, resolution favors later timelines or no vote by mid-2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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