US-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, aimed at ceasefire implementation, phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Hezbollah disarmament, opened in Washington in April 2026 and continued in Rome through July and early August. These ambassador-level meetings address pilot zones and security arrangements but exclude direct Hezbollah participation, as the group has rejected the framework and conditioned any halt on full Israeli withdrawal. Fragile ceasefires have seen repeated flare-ups, with mediators including the US and Qatar involved amid broader regional dynamics. Further rounds could occur, yet structural barriers to direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy persist given Hezbollah's stance and Lebanon's internal constraints.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$92,987 交易量
2026-07-31
8月31日
2%
$92,987 交易量
8月31日
$85,621 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, aimed at ceasefire implementation, phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Hezbollah disarmament, opened in Washington in April 2026 and continued in Rome through July and early August. These ambassador-level meetings address pilot zones and security arrangements but exclude direct Hezbollah participation, as the group has rejected the framework and conditioned any halt on full Israeli withdrawal. Fragile ceasefires have seen repeated flare-ups, with mediators including the US and Qatar involved amid broader regional dynamics. Further rounds could occur, yet structural barriers to direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy persist given Hezbollah's stance and Lebanon's internal constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$92,987結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, aimed at ceasefire implementation, phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Hezbollah disarmament, opened in Washington in April 2026 and continued in Rome through July and early August. These ambassador-level meetings address pilot zones and security arrangements but exclude direct Hezbollah participation, as the group has rejected the framework and conditioned any halt on full Israeli withdrawal. Fragile ceasefires have seen repeated flare-ups, with mediators including the US and Qatar involved amid broader regional dynamics. Further rounds could occur, yet structural barriers to direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy persist given Hezbollah's stance and Lebanon's internal constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$92,987結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, aimed at ceasefire implementation, phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon, and Hezbollah disarmament, opened in Washington in April 2026 and continued in Rome through July and early August. These ambassador-level meetings address pilot zones and security arrangements but exclude direct Hezbollah participation, as the group has rejected the framework and conditioned any halt on full Israeli withdrawal. Fragile ceasefires have seen repeated flare-ups, with mediators including the US and Qatar involved amid broader regional dynamics. Further rounds could occur, yet structural barriers to direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomacy persist given Hezbollah's stance and Lebanon's internal constraints.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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