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Elections·Columbia

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

icon for Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place
Elections·Columbia

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 97.2%

Centro Democrático (CD) 1.6%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) <1%

Cambio Radical (CR) <1%

Polymarket

$17,304,555 Vol.

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 97.2%

Centro Democrático (CD) 1.6%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) <1%

Cambio Radical (CR) <1%

Polymarket

$17,304,555 Vol.

icon for Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$48,183 Vol.

97%

icon for Centro Democrático (CD)

Centro Democrático (CD)

$36,713 Vol.

2%

icon for Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

$6,190,536 Vol.

1%

icon for Cambio Radical (CR)

Cambio Radical (CR)

$1,431,844 Vol.

1%

icon for Partido de la U (La U)

Partido de la U (La U)

$6,449,934 Vol.

1%

icon for Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)

$1,216,279 Vol.

<1%

icon for Green Alliance (AV)

Green Alliance (AV)

$1,339,209 Vol.

<1%

icon for MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)

MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)

$591,857 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 97.2% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting official preconteo results at 99.5% of tables confirming PLC's national seat total behind Pacto Histórico and Centro Democrático. This positioning stems from PLC's consistent departmental performances yielding a firm third place ahead of Partido Conservador Colombiano, Cambio Radical, and others, as escrutinios concluded March 31 without major reallocations. The wisdom of crowds prices minimal upset risk given the high scrutiny advance, though scenarios like successful legal challenges to departmental counts or CNE adjustments could shift seats to challengers such as Centro Democrático. Final certification by the National Electoral Council remains pending.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$17,304,555
End Date
Mar 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 97.2% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026, parliamentary election, reflecting official preconteo results at 99.5% of tables confirming PLC's national seat total behind Pacto Histórico and Centro Democrático. This positioning stems from PLC's consistent departmental performances yielding a firm third place ahead of Partido Conservador Colombiano, Cambio Radical, and others, as escrutinios concluded March 31 without major reallocations. The wisdom of crowds prices minimal upset risk given the high scrutiny advance, though scenarios like successful legal challenges to departmental counts or CNE adjustments could shift seats to challengers such as Centro Democrático. Final certification by the National Electoral Council remains pending.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$17,304,555
End Date
Mar 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" at 97%, followed by "Centro Democrático (CD)" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place" has generated $17.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place" is "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Centro Democrático (CD)" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.