Recent polling averages position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) as the clear third-place contender in Colombia's March 2026 Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, trailing Centro Democrático (CD) at around 22% and Partido Conservador Colombiano at 16%, per the latest Invamer survey from October 17. This stability in trader consensus, with PLC shares at 87%, stems from consistent mid-teens support amid President Petro's declining approval dragging Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) below 10%, while CD's lead solidifies despite minor momentum from Uribe-linked endorsements. La U's 2.6% reflects its fading relevance post-regional election losses; no major shifts in the past week, though upcoming primary dynamics or scandals could tip balances in this multicandidate field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPartido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 95.5%
Centro Democrático (CD) 21.0%
Partido de la U (La U) 9.9%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) <1%
$449,277 Vol.
$449,277 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
87%
Centro Democrático (CD)
14%
Partido de la U (La U)
10%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
<1%
Green Alliance (AV)
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 95.5%
Centro Democrático (CD) 21.0%
Partido de la U (La U) 9.9%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) <1%
$449,277 Vol.
$449,277 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$35,740 Vol.
87%
Centro Democrático (CD)
$32,182 Vol.
14%
Partido de la U (La U)
$373,420 Vol.
10%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
$7,934 Vol.
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Green Alliance (AV)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$0 Vol.
<1%
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) as the clear third-place contender in Colombia's March 2026 Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, trailing Centro Democrático (CD) at around 22% and Partido Conservador Colombiano at 16%, per the latest Invamer survey from October 17. This stability in trader consensus, with PLC shares at 87%, stems from consistent mid-teens support amid President Petro's declining approval dragging Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) below 10%, while CD's lead solidifies despite minor momentum from Uribe-linked endorsements. La U's 2.6% reflects its fading relevance post-regional election losses; no major shifts in the past week, though upcoming primary dynamics or scandals could tip balances in this multicandidate field.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$449,277End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) as the clear third-place contender in Colombia's March 2026 Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, trailing Centro Democrático (CD) at around 22% and Partido Conservador Colombiano at 16%, per the latest Invamer survey from October 17. This stability in trader consensus, with PLC shares at 87%, stems from consistent mid-teens support amid President Petro's declining approval dragging Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) below 10%, while CD's lead solidifies despite minor momentum from Uribe-linked endorsements. La U's 2.6% reflects its fading relevance post-regional election losses; no major shifts in the past week, though upcoming primary dynamics or scandals could tip balances in this multicandidate field.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$449,277End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) as the clear third-place contender in Colombia's March 2026 Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, trailing Centro Democrático (CD) at around 22% and Partido Conservador Colombiano at 16%, per the latest Invamer survey from October 17. This stability in trader consensus, with PLC shares at 87%, stems from consistent mid-teens support amid President Petro's declining approval dragging Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) below 10%, while CD's lead solidifies despite minor momentum from Uribe-linked endorsements. La U's 2.6% reflects its fading relevance post-regional election losses; no major shifts in the past week, though upcoming primary dynamics or scandals could tip balances in this multicandidate field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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