icon for # of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

Elections·Bulgaria

# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

icon for # of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

Elections·Bulgaria

# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?

<50 100.0%

50-54 <1%

55-59 <1%

60-64 <1%

$63,204 Vol.

$63,204 Vol.

Apr 19, 2026

<50

$19,011 Vol.

Yes

50-54

$2,851 Vol.

No

55-59

$11,068 Vol.

No

60-64

$23,180 Vol.

No

65-69

$4,395 Vol.

No

70+

$2,699 Vol.

No

<50 100.0%

50-54 <1%

55-59 <1%

60-64 <1%

$63,204 Vol.

$63,204 Vol.

Apr 19, 2026

<50

$19,011 Vol.

Yes

50-54

$2,851 Vol.

No

55-59

$11,068 Vol.

No

60-64

$23,180 Vol.

No

65-69

$4,395 Vol.

No

70+

$2,699 Vol.

No

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Beware of external links.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<50" at 100%, followed by "50-54" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" has generated $63.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" is "<50" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-54" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $63.2K traded on “# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "<50" in the "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "<50" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.