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Politics·Global Elections

Terrebone By-Election Winner

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Politics·Global Elections

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Tatiana Auguste 100.0%

Maxime Beaudoin <1%

Maria Cantore <1%

Adrienne Charles <1%

Polymarket

$505,052 Vol.

Tatiana Auguste 100.0%

Maxime Beaudoin <1%

Maria Cantore <1%

Adrienne Charles <1%

Polymarket

$505,052 Vol.

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Tatiana Auguste

$201,102 Vol.

Yes

Will Maxime Beaudoin win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Maxime Beaudoin

$42,756 Vol.

No

Will Maria Cantore win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Maria Cantore

$39,657 Vol.

No

Will Adrienne Charles win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Adrienne Charles

$48,763 Vol.

No

Will Benjamin Rankin win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Benjamin Rankin

$62,350 Vol.

No

Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? icon

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné

$110,424 Vol.

No

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal Tatiana Auguste clinched victory in the Terrebonne, Quebec, federal by-election on April 13, 2026, with official results confirming her win and propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. This outcome rematches her overturned one-vote 2025 general election triumph, nullified by the Supreme Court in February 2026 over an Elections Canada administrative error, amid a record number of candidates including Conservative Maxime Beaudoin and Bloc Québécois's Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné. Strong Liberal campaign momentum and voter turnout in the historically tight riding secured her lead, reported at around 600 votes with most polls counted. While formal certification by Elections Canada is pending, realistic challenges like recounts or legal appeals appear improbable given the margin, locking in the market's commanding position.

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$505,052
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal Tatiana Auguste clinched victory in the Terrebonne, Quebec, federal by-election on April 13, 2026, with official results confirming her win and propelling trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. This outcome rematches her overturned one-vote 2025 general election triumph, nullified by the Supreme Court in February 2026 over an Elections Canada administrative error, amid a record number of candidates including Conservative Maxime Beaudoin and Bloc Québécois's Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné. Strong Liberal campaign momentum and voter turnout in the historically tight riding secured her lead, reported at around 600 votes with most polls counted. While formal certification by Elections Canada is pending, realistic challenges like recounts or legal appeals appear improbable given the margin, locking in the market's commanding position.

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$505,052
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tatiana Auguste" at 100%, followed by "Maxime Beaudoin" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Terrebone By-Election Winner" has generated $505.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" is "Tatiana Auguste" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maxime Beaudoin" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.