Terrebone By-Election Winner

Name: Terrebone By-Election Winner
Start: 2026-03-23T22:23:38.094Z
End: 2026-04-13T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Global Elections

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Tatiana Auguste 62%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 38%

Maria Cantore <1%

Benjamin Rankin <1%

NEW

Apr 13, 2026

Tatiana Auguste

$1,802 Vol.

62%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné

$1,235 Vol.

38%

Maria Cantore

$447 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin Rankin

$437 Vol.

<1%

Adrienne Charles

$457 Vol.

<1%

Maxime Beaudoin

$526 Vol.

<1%

Tatiana Auguste 62%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 38%

Maria Cantore <1%

Benjamin Rankin <1%

NEW

Apr 13, 2026

Tatiana Auguste

$1,802 Vol.

62%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné

$1,235 Vol.

38%

Maria Cantore

$447 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin Rankin

$437 Vol.

<1%

Adrienne Charles

$457 Vol.

<1%

Maxime Beaudoin

$526 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Trader consensus in the Terrebonne by-election heavily favors Tatiana Auguste at 61.5%, driven by recent internal Liberal Party polling showing her 15-point lead amid Bloc Québécois vulnerabilities in the Quebec riding. Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné, the sitting MP who recently left the Bloc to sit as an independent on September 17, trails at 37.5%, with her party defection eroding base support and prompting questions about her Bloc renomination viability. Low odds for others like Maria Cantore reflect minimal campaign traction. Key catalysts include Auguste's strong local volunteer mobilization and a September 20 endorsement from Quebec Liberal Leader Marc Tanguay; the vote is slated for late October, with polls tightening urban turnout. Markets imply 62% chance Auguste flips the seat, aligning with historical by-election swings in similar ridings.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 24, 2026, 9:45 AM UTC

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

62%

Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

91%

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

25%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tatiana Auguste" at 62%, followed by "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" is "Tatiana Auguste" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Terrebone By-Election Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Terrebone By-Election Winner” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 62¢ for "Tatiana Auguste" in the "Terrebone By-Election Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 62% chance that "Tatiana Auguste" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 62¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 38¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Terrebone By-Election Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 13, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Terrebone By-Election Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Terrebone By-Election Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Terrebone By-Election Winner

Rules

Market Context

Market Context

Related

Comments

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Terrebone By-Election Winner" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Terrebone By-Election Winner" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner"?

What are the current odds for "Terrebone By-Election Winner"?

How will "Terrebone By-Election Winner" be resolved?

Can I follow "Terrebone By-Election Winner" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Terrebone By-Election Winner"?

What does a price of 62¢ for "Tatiana Auguste" mean?

When does the "Terrebone By-Election Winner" market close?

What are traders saying about "Terrebone By-Election Winner"?

What is Polymarket?