Yashar, the new centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, holds a narrow edge in recent polling averages ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with its bloc often projected near 52 seats compared to a similar total for the Likud-led coalition. This positioning stems from voter shifts away from Prime Minister Netanyahu's alliance amid ongoing security concerns and debates over national service requirements, while smaller parties like Together hover in the low teens and ultra-Orthodox or far-right lists show mixed threshold performance. Traders appear to price Yashar as the likeliest single largest party or coalition anchor based on consistent seat projections from multiple pollsters, though bloc totals remain well short of a 61-seat majority and final outcomes hinge on post-election negotiations and undecided voters.