Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$772,191 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

Rules

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$772,191
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Jan 8, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$772,191 Vol.

January 31

$496,064 Vol.

<1%

February 28

$47,289 Vol.

5%

March 31

$3,949 Vol.

9%

June 30

$224,890 Vol.

20%

About

Volume
$772,191
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Jan 8, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.