Palestine predictions & odds

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U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

20%

$47.3K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

22%

Belgium

$543K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

100%

Six Seven

$125K Vol.

$53.8K today

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will Trump say in April?

What will Trump say in April?

100%

Six Seven

$132K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

22

Ends in 14 days

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

4%

$85.8K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

14

Ends in 3 months

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

51%

2

$99.6K Vol.

$57.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

29%

4

$6M Vol.

$179K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

46%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

$64.6K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

27%

June 30

$441K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Iraq

$4M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?

Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?

14%

$1.5K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

51%

December 31

$113K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

46%

December 31

$513K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

8

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

19%

$9.4K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

14%

Lebanon

$155K Vol.

$119K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar

48%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$0 Vol.

$449 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

50%

40-59

$1.1K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Palestine.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Palestine that lets you track or trade on predictions like “U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to 4. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Palestine predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.