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Política·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?
Política·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

$725,210 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$725,210 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Estados Unidos

Estados Unidos

$21,474 Vol.

9%

icon for Italia

Italia

$22,693 Vol.

16%

icon for Países Bajos

Países Bajos

$57,301 Vol.

17%

icon for Japón

Japón

$44,591 Vol.

10%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$128,417 Vol.

4%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$72,505 Vol.

14%

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$37,863 Vol.

12%

icon for Austria

Austria

$172,405 Vol.

6%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$45,968 Vol.

12%

icon for Nueva Zelanda

Nueva Zelanda

$121,993 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, and France, along with smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly two-state solution conference, raising the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. This coordinated diplomatic push, linked to Gaza developments and efforts to advance a two-state framework, produced no further recognitions in the following months. Remaining holdouts among G7 and EU states face domestic political constraints, alliance considerations with Israel, and conditions such as Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases. Trader focus centers on whether additional European or G20 countries will move before the December 2026 resolution deadline amid ongoing bilateral diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$725,210
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several Western governments, including the UK, Canada, Australia, and France, along with smaller European states, formally recognized the State of Palestine during the September 2025 UN General Assembly two-state solution conference, raising the total to approximately 157 of 193 UN members. This coordinated diplomatic push, linked to Gaza developments and efforts to advance a two-state framework, produced no further recognitions in the following months. Remaining holdouts among G7 and EU states face domestic political constraints, alliance considerations with Israel, and conditions such as Palestinian Authority reforms or hostage releases. Trader focus centers on whether additional European or G20 countries will move before the December 2026 resolution deadline amid ongoing bilateral diplomacy.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$725,210
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nueva Zelanda" con 19%, seguido de "Países Bajos" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" ha generado $725.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es "Nueva Zelanda" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Países Bajos" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.