Diplomatic recognition of Israel remains stable at 163 UN member states as of early 2026, with the 29 non-recognizing countries concentrated in the Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation. No new formal recognitions have occurred in the past year amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and stalled normalization talks. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any diplomatic ties on establishment of a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, while other holdouts such as Pakistan have explicitly ruled out recognition without a comprehensive resolution. The Abraham Accords framework from 2020 has seen maintained relations but no expansion, and recent international summits have instead advanced Palestinian state recognitions by several Western nations. Any shift by December 31 would likely require verifiable progress in bilateral negotiations or multilateral agreements within that timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,768 Vol.

北朝鮮
7%

キューバ
12%

シリア
11%

バングラデシュ
9%

サウジアラビア
13%

レバノン
21%

アフガニスタン
8%

カタール
15%

イラク
9%

パキスタン
9%

ベネズエラ
13%

チュニジア
12%

クウェート
13%

インドネシア
14%

マレーシア
8%

イラン
9%
$43,768 Vol.

北朝鮮
7%

キューバ
12%

シリア
11%

バングラデシュ
9%

サウジアラビア
13%

レバノン
21%

アフガニスタン
8%

カタール
15%

イラク
9%

パキスタン
9%

ベネズエラ
13%

チュニジア
12%

クウェート
13%

インドネシア
14%

マレーシア
8%

イラン
9%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic recognition of Israel remains stable at 163 UN member states as of early 2026, with the 29 non-recognizing countries concentrated in the Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation. No new formal recognitions have occurred in the past year amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and stalled normalization talks. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any diplomatic ties on establishment of a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, while other holdouts such as Pakistan have explicitly ruled out recognition without a comprehensive resolution. The Abraham Accords framework from 2020 has seen maintained relations but no expansion, and recent international summits have instead advanced Palestinian state recognitions by several Western nations. Any shift by December 31 would likely require verifiable progress in bilateral negotiations or multilateral agreements within that timeframe.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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