Israel predictions & odds

·
US next strikes Iran on...?

Israel

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

71%

No strike by February 28

$3m Vol.

$1m today

$535k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Israel

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

100%

No strike by January 31

$28m Vol.

$800k today

$291k Liq.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

20%

$9m Vol.

$742k today

$296k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Israel

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

70%

December 31

$10m Vol.

$305k today

$131k Liq.

298

Ends in 12 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

10%

$3m Vol.

$202k today

$224k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

67%

February 6

$282k Vol.

$122k today

$12.5k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

31%

$4m Vol.

$104k today

$94.2k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Israel

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

25%

$307k Vol.

$80.3k today

$38.0k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

71%

February 2

$165k Vol.

$64.3k today

$11.6k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

48%

$2m Vol.

$63.7k today

$123k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

22%

$1m Vol.

$51.1k today

$72.4k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Israel

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

41%

$2m Vol.

$36.6k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

33%

$4m Vol.

$148k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Israel

Politics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

25%

February 28

$1m Vol.

$55.0k Liq.

26

Ends in 25 days

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Israel

Politics

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

62%

June 30, 2026

$5m Vol.

$40.4k Liq.

187

Ends in about 2 months

Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by...?

Israel

Politics

Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by...?

34%

March 31

$64.7k Vol.

$16.3k Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel

Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

15%

June 30

$888k Vol.

$68.5k Liq.

46

Ends in 5 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Israel

Politics

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

30%

December 31

$506k Vol.

$53.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?

Israel

Politics

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?

26%

Nuclear

$37.0k Vol.

$7.9k Liq.

3

Ends in 25 days

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

39%

March 31

$139k Vol.

$13.4k Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months