Foreign Policy predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$14m Vol.

$683k today

$703k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

9%

$14m Vol.

$683k today

$703k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$2m Vol.

$318k today

$427k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

3%

$2m Vol.

$318k today

$427k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Foreign Policy

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

$1m Vol.

$253k today

$17.0k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

94%

$1m Vol.

$253k today

$17.0k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Foreign Policy

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$27m Vol.

$202k today

$723k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

13%

$27m Vol.

$202k today

$723k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$9m Vol.

$179k today

$637k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

43%

$9m Vol.

$179k today

$637k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Foreign Policy

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$8m Vol.

$74.7k today

$582k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months

12%

$8m Vol.

$74.7k today

$582k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$2m Vol.

$65.6k today

$56.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

2%

$2m Vol.

$65.6k today

$56.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$609k Vol.

$195k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

23%

$609k Vol.

$195k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$128k Vol.

$12.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

32%

$128k Vol.

$12.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Ukraine election called by...?

Foreign Policy

Ukraine election called by...?

$1m Vol.

$13.1k Liq.

12

18%

June 30, 2026

$1m Vol.

$13.1k Liq.

12

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Foreign Policy

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

$685k Vol.

$90.7k Liq.

119

Ends in about 2 months

19%

Russia

$685k Vol.

$90.7k Liq.

119

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

Foreign Policy

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$573k Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

38

Ends in 5 months

32%

June 30

$573k Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

38

Ends in 5 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Foreign Policy

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

$559k Vol.

$45.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

28%

December 31

$559k Vol.

$45.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US strike on Mexico by...?

Foreign Policy

US strike on Mexico by...?

$2m Vol.

$71.4k Liq.

124

Ends in 11 months

25%

December 31

$2m Vol.

$71.4k Liq.

124

Ends in 11 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

$219k Vol.

$18.0k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

14%

$219k Vol.

$18.0k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Foreign Policy

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

$137k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

5%

$137k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Foreign Policy

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1m Vol.

$17.3k Liq.

145

Ends in 5 months

37%

June 30, 2026

$1m Vol.

$17.3k Liq.

145

Ends in 5 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Foreign Policy

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$737k Vol.

$78.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

16%

$737k Vol.

$78.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Foreign Policy

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

$32.1k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

16%

$32.1k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

Foreign Policy

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

$7m Vol.

$10.4k Liq.

251

Ends in about 2 months

13%

March 31, 2026

$7m Vol.

$10.4k Liq.

251

Ends in about 2 months

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