How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?
6 16.2%
7 14.8%
5 13.0%
8 10.9%
$186,339 Vol.
$186,339 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3
$45,320 Vol.
3%
4
$3,345 Vol.
10%
5
$3,664 Vol.
13%
6
$1,186 Vol.
16%
7
$1,898 Vol.
15%
8
$3,161 Vol.
11%
9
$3,527 Vol.
10%
10
$6,547 Vol.
5%
11
$3,602 Vol.
5%
12
$3,856 Vol.
4%
13
$1,543 Vol.
2%
14
$1,305 Vol.
2%
15+
$6,406 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$186,339End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many different countries will the US strike in 2026?
6 16.2%
7 14.8%
5 13.0%
8 10.9%
$186,339 Vol.
$186,339 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3
$45,320 Vol.
3%
4
$3,345 Vol.
10%
5
$3,664 Vol.
13%
6
$1,186 Vol.
16%
7
$1,898 Vol.
15%
8
$3,161 Vol.
11%
9
$3,527 Vol.
10%
10
$6,547 Vol.
5%
11
$3,602 Vol.
5%
12
$3,856 Vol.
4%
13
$1,543 Vol.
2%
14
$1,305 Vol.
2%
15+
$6,406 Vol.
3%
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