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Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

$10,043 Vol.

24% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,043
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 26, 2025, 7:20 PM UTC
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$10,043 Vol.

Market icon

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

24% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,043
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 26, 2025, 7:20 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.