Ongoing disagreements over sequencing continue to shape prospects for any Hamas commitment to disarm by year-end. Hamas has conditionally accepted phased handover of heavy weapons under a US-backed Board of Peace roadmap announced in July 2026, linking the process to Israeli withdrawals and guarantees, while Israel maintains that full disarmament must precede any pullback from Gaza positions. Recent US diplomatic outreach, including envoy meetings in Cairo, seeks to revive stalled talks amid a ceasefire that has held since October 2025 but delivered limited further progress on administration changes or reconstruction. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has rejected simultaneous steps, citing security concerns ahead of national elections later this month. These core differences on verification, timing, and mutual concessions remain the primary barriers to a formal Hamas announcement.
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