Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability on Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by her repeated history of detentions during civil disobedience actions—over a dozen times across Sweden, the UK, Netherlands, and elsewhere—for climate strikes and pro-Palestine protests. Her most recent high-profile arrest occurred in December 2025 in London under the UK's Terrorism Act for publicly supporting hunger-striking members of the proscribed Palestine Action group, signaling intensified police scrutiny amid crackdowns on such activism. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but her ongoing affiliation with Fridays for Future and solidarity campaigns sustains expectations of renewed direct actions before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$45,284 Vol.
$45,284 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$45,284 Vol.
$45,284 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability on Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by her repeated history of detentions during civil disobedience actions—over a dozen times across Sweden, the UK, Netherlands, and elsewhere—for climate strikes and pro-Palestine protests. Her most recent high-profile arrest occurred in December 2025 in London under the UK's Terrorism Act for publicly supporting hunger-striking members of the proscribed Palestine Action group, signaling intensified police scrutiny amid crackdowns on such activism. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but her ongoing affiliation with Fridays for Future and solidarity campaigns sustains expectations of renewed direct actions before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$45,284Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability on Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by her repeated history of detentions during civil disobedience actions—over a dozen times across Sweden, the UK, Netherlands, and elsewhere—for climate strikes and pro-Palestine protests. Her most recent high-profile arrest occurred in December 2025 in London under the UK's Terrorism Act for publicly supporting hunger-striking members of the proscribed Palestine Action group, signaling intensified police scrutiny amid crackdowns on such activism. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but her ongoing affiliation with Fridays for Future and solidarity campaigns sustains expectations of renewed direct actions before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,284Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 57% implied probability on Greta Thunberg facing arrest by June 30, driven by her repeated history of detentions during civil disobedience actions—over a dozen times across Sweden, the UK, Netherlands, and elsewhere—for climate strikes and pro-Palestine protests. Her most recent high-profile arrest occurred in December 2025 in London under the UK's Terrorism Act for publicly supporting hunger-striking members of the proscribed Palestine Action group, signaling intensified police scrutiny amid crackdowns on such activism. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but her ongoing affiliation with Fridays for Future and solidarity campaigns sustains expectations of renewed direct actions before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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