US citizenship revocation requires specific statutory grounds such as fraud or disloyalty, none of which apply to Eileen Gu’s athletic decisions or dual-nationality status. Born in San Francisco, the freestyle skier faces public debate over her choice to represent China at the 2026 Winter Olympics, yet no congressional bills, executive orders, or DOJ proceedings have targeted her passport. Traders assign a 95.5 percent probability to “No” because revocation remains a narrow legal process unrelated to Olympic eligibility or foreign competition. The December 31, 2026 resolution window leaves room for shifts only if new evidence of naturalization fraud emerges or targeted legislation passes before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$42,825 Vol.
$42,825 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$42,825 Vol.
$42,825 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US citizenship revocation requires specific statutory grounds such as fraud or disloyalty, none of which apply to Eileen Gu’s athletic decisions or dual-nationality status. Born in San Francisco, the freestyle skier faces public debate over her choice to represent China at the 2026 Winter Olympics, yet no congressional bills, executive orders, or DOJ proceedings have targeted her passport. Traders assign a 95.5 percent probability to “No” because revocation remains a narrow legal process unrelated to Olympic eligibility or foreign competition. The December 31, 2026 resolution window leaves room for shifts only if new evidence of naturalization fraud emerges or targeted legislation passes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$42,825End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US citizenship revocation requires specific statutory grounds such as fraud or disloyalty, none of which apply to Eileen Gu’s athletic decisions or dual-nationality status. Born in San Francisco, the freestyle skier faces public debate over her choice to represent China at the 2026 Winter Olympics, yet no congressional bills, executive orders, or DOJ proceedings have targeted her passport. Traders assign a 95.5 percent probability to “No” because revocation remains a narrow legal process unrelated to Olympic eligibility or foreign competition. The December 31, 2026 resolution window leaves room for shifts only if new evidence of naturalization fraud emerges or targeted legislation passes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$42,825End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US citizenship revocation requires specific statutory grounds such as fraud or disloyalty, none of which apply to Eileen Gu’s athletic decisions or dual-nationality status. Born in San Francisco, the freestyle skier faces public debate over her choice to represent China at the 2026 Winter Olympics, yet no congressional bills, executive orders, or DOJ proceedings have targeted her passport. Traders assign a 95.5 percent probability to “No” because revocation remains a narrow legal process unrelated to Olympic eligibility or foreign competition. The December 31, 2026 resolution window leaves room for shifts only if new evidence of naturalization fraud emerges or targeted legislation passes before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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