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icon for Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Politics·Trump

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

icon for Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Politics·Trump

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

5% chance
Polymarket

$42,784 Vol.

5% chance
Polymarket

$42,784 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus at 95.5% against revocation of Eileen Gu's citizenship reflects the absence of any official announcements, legal proceedings, or policy directives from Chinese authorities on dual nationality enforcement. Established rules under Chinese nationality law permit only single citizenship, yet no recent actions targeting athletes or public figures with similar status have occurred, and Gu continues competing without reported challenges to her eligibility. Historical patterns show rare, case-specific revocations rather than broad enforcement. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden regulatory updates, diplomatic developments, or formal complaints triggering review, though none appear imminent within standard resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$42,784
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus at 95.5% against revocation of Eileen Gu's citizenship reflects the absence of any official announcements, legal proceedings, or policy directives from Chinese authorities on dual nationality enforcement. Established rules under Chinese nationality law permit only single citizenship, yet no recent actions targeting athletes or public figures with similar status have occurred, and Gu continues competing without reported challenges to her eligibility. Historical patterns show rare, case-specific revocations rather than broad enforcement. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden regulatory updates, diplomatic developments, or formal complaints triggering review, though none appear imminent within standard resolution windows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$42,784
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

" Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 5% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 5¢, the market collectively assigns a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?" has generated $42.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for " Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?" is 5% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for " Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.