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United States predictions & odds

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United States vs. Australia

United States vs. Australia

22%

Yes

$436K Vol.

$106K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Türkiye vs. United States

Türkiye vs. United States

26%

Yes

$98.2K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

96%

North Carolina

$311K Vol.

$233K Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

67%

Switzerland

$12M Vol.

$858K today

$753K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

37%

United States

$965K Vol.

$78.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

97%

No meeting by June 30

$9M Vol.

$337K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

32%

Germany

$310K Vol.

$967K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

63%

No meeting by December 31

$66.8K Vol.

$198K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

World Cup: Team to Concede the Most Goals (Group Stage)

World Cup: Team to Concede the Most Goals (Group Stage)

74%

Curaçao

$65.6K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance

World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance

47%

Scotland

$22.7K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

35%

220–249

$4.3K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

World Cup: Team to Go Unbeaten (Group Stage)

World Cup: Team to Go Unbeaten (Group Stage)

75%

Morocco

$40.9K Vol.

$53.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

35%

Japan

$62.0K Vol.

$382K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

50%

United States

$31.8K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Team with the Most Clean Sheets

World Cup: Team with the Most Clean Sheets

3%

Australia

$16.1K Vol.

$169K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

56%

Victim

$2.2K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

82%

1250+

$73.1K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

67%

South Sudan

$15.0K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

44%

Keith Sonderling

$46.3K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

37%

<100

$489 Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United States.

Polymarket currently hosts 758 active markets for United States that lets you track or trade on predictions like “United States vs. Australia”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to Switzerland. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United States predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.