Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid post-strike tensions. US-Israeli airstrikes since June 2025 severely damaged key facilities at Natanz and Fordow, prompting Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity, yet IAEA reports from late February confirm unverified stockpiles exceeding 440 kg at 60% purity—near weapons-grade—and inability to monitor activities. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demands full dismantlement, zero enrichment, and stockpile handover to end hostilities, but Iranian officials deem it unacceptable, with no breakthrough despite prior Omani-mediated talks collapsing before attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions could shift odds, though historical red lines persist.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 30 июня?
Иран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 30 июня?
Да
$136,993 Объем
$136,993 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
Да
$136,993 Объем
$136,993 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid post-strike tensions. US-Israeli airstrikes since June 2025 severely damaged key facilities at Natanz and Fordow, prompting Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity, yet IAEA reports from late February confirm unverified stockpiles exceeding 440 kg at 60% purity—near weapons-grade—and inability to monitor activities. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demands full dismantlement, zero enrichment, and stockpile handover to end hostilities, but Iranian officials deem it unacceptable, with no breakthrough despite prior Omani-mediated talks collapsing before attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions could shift odds, though historical red lines persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Объем
$136,993Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid post-strike tensions. US-Israeli airstrikes since June 2025 severely damaged key facilities at Natanz and Fordow, prompting Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity, yet IAEA reports from late February confirm unverified stockpiles exceeding 440 kg at 60% purity—near weapons-grade—and inability to monitor activities. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demands full dismantlement, zero enrichment, and stockpile handover to end hostilities, but Iranian officials deem it unacceptable, with no breakthrough despite prior Omani-mediated talks collapsing before attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions could shift odds, though historical red lines persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$136,993Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 72.5% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by stalled US-Iran nuclear negotiations amid post-strike tensions. US-Israeli airstrikes since June 2025 severely damaged key facilities at Natanz and Fordow, prompting Netanyahu's March 19 claim that Iran lacks enrichment capacity, yet IAEA reports from late February confirm unverified stockpiles exceeding 440 kg at 60% purity—near weapons-grade—and inability to monitor activities. A March 25 US 15-point proposal demands full dismantlement, zero enrichment, and stockpile handover to end hostilities, but Iranian officials deem it unacceptable, with no breakthrough despite prior Omani-mediated talks collapsing before attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions could shift odds, though historical red lines persist.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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