Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by March 31, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Israeli military actions against Iranian nuclear sites. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point proposal demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, ban domestic enrichment, and surrender enriched stockpiles, but Tehran has shown no public acceptance. Israeli airstrikes hit key facilities including Isfahan on March 27, following Netanyahu's March 19 claim that prior attacks eliminated Iran's enrichment capacity. IAEA reports confirm ongoing verification barriers, with no suspension confirmed. With the deadline imminent, only an improbable last-minute concession under duress could shift outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 31 марта?
Иран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 31 марта?
Да
$2,141,625 Объем
$2,141,625 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$2,141,625 Объем
$2,141,625 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by March 31, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Israeli military actions against Iranian nuclear sites. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point proposal demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, ban domestic enrichment, and surrender enriched stockpiles, but Tehran has shown no public acceptance. Israeli airstrikes hit key facilities including Isfahan on March 27, following Netanyahu's March 19 claim that prior attacks eliminated Iran's enrichment capacity. IAEA reports confirm ongoing verification barriers, with no suspension confirmed. With the deadline imminent, only an improbable last-minute concession under duress could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Объем
$2,141,625Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by March 31, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Israeli military actions against Iranian nuclear sites. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point proposal demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, ban domestic enrichment, and surrender enriched stockpiles, but Tehran has shown no public acceptance. Israeli airstrikes hit key facilities including Isfahan on March 27, following Netanyahu's March 19 claim that prior attacks eliminated Iran's enrichment capacity. IAEA reports confirm ongoing verification barriers, with no suspension confirmed. With the deadline imminent, only an improbable last-minute concession under duress could shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,141,625Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by March 31, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Israeli military actions against Iranian nuclear sites. On March 25, the United States presented a 15-point proposal demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, ban domestic enrichment, and surrender enriched stockpiles, but Tehran has shown no public acceptance. Israeli airstrikes hit key facilities including Isfahan on March 27, following Netanyahu's March 19 claim that prior attacks eliminated Iran's enrichment capacity. IAEA reports confirm ongoing verification barriers, with no suspension confirmed. With the deadline imminent, only an improbable last-minute concession under duress could shift outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы