Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.7% reflecting Iran's rejection of a U.S. 15-point ceasefire proposal presented March 25, 2026, which demanded complete dismantlement of its nuclear program including an end to uranium enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian facilities, coupled with Tehran's insistence on its right to enrich uranium and demands for full conflict cessation before concessions, have stalled negotiations with no breakthrough in sight ahead of the March 31 deadline. IAEA reports from late February highlight unresolved verification issues at sites like Isfahan, underscoring persistent non-compliance. Only an improbable last-minute diplomatic reversal amid hostilities could shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 31 марта?
Иран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 31 марта?
Да
$2,135,446 Объем
$2,135,446 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$2,135,446 Объем
$2,135,446 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.7% reflecting Iran's rejection of a U.S. 15-point ceasefire proposal presented March 25, 2026, which demanded complete dismantlement of its nuclear program including an end to uranium enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian facilities, coupled with Tehran's insistence on its right to enrich uranium and demands for full conflict cessation before concessions, have stalled negotiations with no breakthrough in sight ahead of the March 31 deadline. IAEA reports from late February highlight unresolved verification issues at sites like Isfahan, underscoring persistent non-compliance. Only an improbable last-minute diplomatic reversal amid hostilities could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Объем
$2,135,446Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.7% reflecting Iran's rejection of a U.S. 15-point ceasefire proposal presented March 25, 2026, which demanded complete dismantlement of its nuclear program including an end to uranium enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian facilities, coupled with Tehran's insistence on its right to enrich uranium and demands for full conflict cessation before concessions, have stalled negotiations with no breakthrough in sight ahead of the March 31 deadline. IAEA reports from late February highlight unresolved verification issues at sites like Isfahan, underscoring persistent non-compliance. Only an improbable last-minute diplomatic reversal amid hostilities could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,135,446Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.7% reflecting Iran's rejection of a U.S. 15-point ceasefire proposal presented March 25, 2026, which demanded complete dismantlement of its nuclear program including an end to uranium enrichment and handover of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium to the IAEA. Ongoing U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian facilities, coupled with Tehran's insistence on its right to enrich uranium and demands for full conflict cessation before concessions, have stalled negotiations with no breakthrough in sight ahead of the March 31 deadline. IAEA reports from late February highlight unresolved verification issues at sites like Isfahan, underscoring persistent non-compliance. Only an improbable last-minute diplomatic reversal amid hostilities could shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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