Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels continue sporadic ballistic missile and drone launches toward Israel in solidarity with Hamas amid the ongoing Gaza war, with the most recent attempt on October 7, 2024—marking the anniversary of Hamas's attack—intercepted by Israeli defenses without impact. Israel has retaliated with airstrikes on Houthi military sites, including ports and radar systems in Yemen, escalating tit-for-tat exchanges. No Houthi projectiles have struck Israeli territory in recent weeks, though threats persist tied to Gaza ceasefire talks and broader regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran. Traders monitor US-led naval intercepts in the Red Sea, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, or Houthi capability enhancements as key factors that could prompt a confirmed strike.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоХуситы нанесли удар по Израилю...?
Хуситы нанесли удар по Израилю...?
$500,881 Объем
31 марта
5%
15 апреля
26%
$500,881 Объем
31 марта
5%
15 апреля
26%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels continue sporadic ballistic missile and drone launches toward Israel in solidarity with Hamas amid the ongoing Gaza war, with the most recent attempt on October 7, 2024—marking the anniversary of Hamas's attack—intercepted by Israeli defenses without impact. Israel has retaliated with airstrikes on Houthi military sites, including ports and radar systems in Yemen, escalating tit-for-tat exchanges. No Houthi projectiles have struck Israeli territory in recent weeks, though threats persist tied to Gaza ceasefire talks and broader regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran. Traders monitor US-led naval intercepts in the Red Sea, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, or Houthi capability enhancements as key factors that could prompt a confirmed strike.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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