US-Iran tensions linger after Iran's October 1 missile attack on Israel—intercepted with US defensive assistance—and Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, which prompted Tehran's vows of retaliation without further escalation. The Biden administration has prioritized de-escalation, conducting targeted strikes against Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen while urging restraint to avoid wider war. A formal US declaration of war, requiring congressional approval and last invoked in 1941, remains improbable absent direct attacks on American assets or personnel. Incoming President Trump's past calls for maximum pressure on Iran's nuclear program introduce policy uncertainty, but no major diplomatic or military catalysts have surfaced in recent weeks. Key watches include nuclear negotiations, proxy actions by Hezbollah or militias, and post-inauguration executive actions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоБудут ли США официально объявлять войну Ирану...?
Будут ли США официально объявлять войну Ирану...?
$4,264,431 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
31 марта
<1%
30 апреля
2%
31 декабря
10%
$4,264,431 Объем
31 марта
$3,933,464 Объем
<1%
30 апреля
$30,544 Объем
2%
31 декабря
$300,423 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions linger after Iran's October 1 missile attack on Israel—intercepted with US defensive assistance—and Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, which prompted Tehran's vows of retaliation without further escalation. The Biden administration has prioritized de-escalation, conducting targeted strikes against Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen while urging restraint to avoid wider war. A formal US declaration of war, requiring congressional approval and last invoked in 1941, remains improbable absent direct attacks on American assets or personnel. Incoming President Trump's past calls for maximum pressure on Iran's nuclear program introduce policy uncertainty, but no major diplomatic or military catalysts have surfaced in recent weeks. Key watches include nuclear negotiations, proxy actions by Hezbollah or militias, and post-inauguration executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Объем
$4,264,431Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran tensions linger after Iran's October 1 missile attack on Israel—intercepted with US defensive assistance—and Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, which prompted Tehran's vows of retaliation without further escalation. The Biden administration has prioritized de-escalation, conducting targeted strikes against Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen while urging restraint to avoid wider war. A formal US declaration of war, requiring congressional approval and last invoked in 1941, remains improbable absent direct attacks on American assets or personnel. Incoming President Trump's past calls for maximum pressure on Iran's nuclear program introduce policy uncertainty, but no major diplomatic or military catalysts have surfaced in recent weeks. Key watches include nuclear negotiations, proxy actions by Hezbollah or militias, and post-inauguration executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$4,264,431Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran tensions linger after Iran's October 1 missile attack on Israel—intercepted with US defensive assistance—and Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, which prompted Tehran's vows of retaliation without further escalation. The Biden administration has prioritized de-escalation, conducting targeted strikes against Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen while urging restraint to avoid wider war. A formal US declaration of war, requiring congressional approval and last invoked in 1941, remains improbable absent direct attacks on American assets or personnel. Incoming President Trump's past calls for maximum pressure on Iran's nuclear program introduce policy uncertainty, but no major diplomatic or military catalysts have surfaced in recent weeks. Key watches include nuclear negotiations, proxy actions by Hezbollah or militias, and post-inauguration executive actions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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