No notable diplomatic announcements or developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by the March 31 deadline, leaving trader consensus reflecting baseline geopolitical alignments and prior international commitments. The board, aimed at coordinating global peace initiatives, awaits formal adhesions from nations, with potential catalysts including bilateral summits, UN discussions, or executive statements from key foreign ministries. Bettors should watch for official positions from major players like the US, EU members, China, or regional powers in the Middle East and Asia, as any endorsement could rapidly shift probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical patterns in multilateral bodies suggest inertia favors non-participation absent strong incentives such as alliances or sanctions relief.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$2,685,280 Объем
Индия
3%
Италия
3%
Бельгия
1%
Швеция
1%
Испания
1%
Финляндия
1%
Великобритания
1%
Франция
1%
Германия
1%
Дания
1%
Нидерланды
1%
Россия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Норвегия
1%
Палестина
<1%
Бразилия
<1%
Украина
<1%
Китай
<1%
$2,685,280 Объем
Индия
3%
Италия
3%
Бельгия
1%
Швеция
1%
Испания
1%
Финляндия
1%
Великобритания
1%
Франция
1%
Германия
1%
Дания
1%
Нидерланды
1%
Россия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Норвегия
1%
Палестина
<1%
Бразилия
<1%
Украина
<1%
Китай
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No notable diplomatic announcements or developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by the March 31 deadline, leaving trader consensus reflecting baseline geopolitical alignments and prior international commitments. The board, aimed at coordinating global peace initiatives, awaits formal adhesions from nations, with potential catalysts including bilateral summits, UN discussions, or executive statements from key foreign ministries. Bettors should watch for official positions from major players like the US, EU members, China, or regional powers in the Middle East and Asia, as any endorsement could rapidly shift probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical patterns in multilateral bodies suggest inertia favors non-participation absent strong incentives such as alliances or sanctions relief.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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