Trader consensus favors a handshake lasting 15 seconds or more at 40%, reflecting the precedent set by Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's 27-second grip during their October 2025 Busan summit amid trade truce talks, which resolved a prior market in that bin. Recent White House confirmation of Trump's May 14-15 visit to Beijing for bilateral discussions—rescheduled from late March due to the Iran conflict—has solidified expectations of an in-person meeting, with Trump describing their relationship as strong and China preparing a state welcome. Shorter durations trail at 20% each for 6-10s and 10-15s, while no-handshake odds remain low at 6.2% given historical norms and diplomatic protocols for such summits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено15+ сек. 40%
6–10 сек 21%
10–15 секунд 20%
2–6 с 11%
$39,667 Объем
$39,667 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Без рукопожатия
5%
<2с
3%
2–6 с
11%
6–10 сек
21%
10–15 секунд
20%
15+ сек.
40%
Только сфотографированы
2%
15+ сек. 40%
6–10 сек 21%
10–15 секунд 20%
2–6 с 11%
$39,667 Объем
$39,667 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Без рукопожатия
$8,990 Объем
5%
<2с
$4,750 Объем
3%
2–6 с
$8,659 Объем
11%
6–10 сек
$3,198 Объем
21%
10–15 секунд
$0 Объем
20%
15+ сек.
$5,268 Объем
40%
Только сфотографированы
$8,802 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a handshake lasting 15 seconds or more at 40%, reflecting the precedent set by Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's 27-second grip during their October 2025 Busan summit amid trade truce talks, which resolved a prior market in that bin. Recent White House confirmation of Trump's May 14-15 visit to Beijing for bilateral discussions—rescheduled from late March due to the Iran conflict—has solidified expectations of an in-person meeting, with Trump describing their relationship as strong and China preparing a state welcome. Shorter durations trail at 20% each for 6-10s and 10-15s, while no-handshake odds remain low at 6.2% given historical norms and diplomatic protocols for such summits.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Открытие рынка: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Объем
$39,667Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors a handshake lasting 15 seconds or more at 40%, reflecting the precedent set by Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's 27-second grip during their October 2025 Busan summit amid trade truce talks, which resolved a prior market in that bin. Recent White House confirmation of Trump's May 14-15 visit to Beijing for bilateral discussions—rescheduled from late March due to the Iran conflict—has solidified expectations of an in-person meeting, with Trump describing their relationship as strong and China preparing a state welcome. Shorter durations trail at 20% each for 6-10s and 10-15s, while no-handshake odds remain low at 6.2% given historical norms and diplomatic protocols for such summits.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Объем
$39,667Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a handshake lasting 15 seconds or more at 40%, reflecting the precedent set by Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping's 27-second grip during their October 2025 Busan summit amid trade truce talks, which resolved a prior market in that bin. Recent White House confirmation of Trump's May 14-15 visit to Beijing for bilateral discussions—rescheduled from late March due to the Iran conflict—has solidified expectations of an in-person meeting, with Trump describing their relationship as strong and China preparing a state welcome. Shorter durations trail at 20% each for 6-10s and 10-15s, while no-handshake odds remain low at 6.2% given historical norms and diplomatic protocols for such summits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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