Trump's election victory and subsequent pledge to extend TikTok's divestiture deadline by up to 90 days post-inauguration have surged trader consensus toward "no acquisition," with market-implied odds exceeding 60% for continued ByteDance control of U.S. operations. This overrides prior CFIUS-mandated sale by January 19, 2025, amid national security concerns. Confirmed bidder interest persists from Oracle-Blackstone consortium and Frank McCourt's $20B bid, while Microsoft and Amazon rumors lack official filings. Antitrust scrutiny hampers Big Tech plays. Watch January 20 inauguration for executive actions and potential Congressional overrides that could pivot probabilities sharply.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКто приобретет TikTok?
Кто приобретет TikTok?
$978,384 Объем
Microsoft
30%
Уолмарт
37%
Амазон
15%
AppLovin
11%
Meta
11%
Илон Маск / X (Twitter)
4%
$978,384 Объем
Microsoft
30%
Уолмарт
37%
Амазон
15%
AppLovin
11%
Meta
11%
Илон Маск / X (Twitter)
4%
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2025, 11:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's election victory and subsequent pledge to extend TikTok's divestiture deadline by up to 90 days post-inauguration have surged trader consensus toward "no acquisition," with market-implied odds exceeding 60% for continued ByteDance control of U.S. operations. This overrides prior CFIUS-mandated sale by January 19, 2025, amid national security concerns. Confirmed bidder interest persists from Oracle-Blackstone consortium and Frank McCourt's $20B bid, while Microsoft and Amazon rumors lack official filings. Antitrust scrutiny hampers Big Tech plays. Watch January 20 inauguration for executive actions and potential Congressional overrides that could pivot probabilities sharply.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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