Xi Jinping’s firm consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the 95.8% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military investigations and leadership adjustments, including scrutiny of senior generals, have been widely viewed as further centralization rather than signs of factional fracture. No verified challenges to authority have emerged, and past rumors of instability have repeatedly failed to materialize into action. Structural factors such as tight control over security forces, absence of organized opposition, and established succession norms reduce near-term risks. While unforeseen events like health developments, severe economic shocks, or external crises could theoretically shift dynamics, current evidence indicates significant institutional barriers to any rapid leadership change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$129,839 Объем
$129,839 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$129,839 Объем
$129,839 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s firm consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the 95.8% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military investigations and leadership adjustments, including scrutiny of senior generals, have been widely viewed as further centralization rather than signs of factional fracture. No verified challenges to authority have emerged, and past rumors of instability have repeatedly failed to materialize into action. Structural factors such as tight control over security forces, absence of organized opposition, and established succession norms reduce near-term risks. While unforeseen events like health developments, severe economic shocks, or external crises could theoretically shift dynamics, current evidence indicates significant institutional barriers to any rapid leadership change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$129,839Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s firm consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the 95.8% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military investigations and leadership adjustments, including scrutiny of senior generals, have been widely viewed as further centralization rather than signs of factional fracture. No verified challenges to authority have emerged, and past rumors of instability have repeatedly failed to materialize into action. Structural factors such as tight control over security forces, absence of organized opposition, and established succession norms reduce near-term risks. While unforeseen events like health developments, severe economic shocks, or external crises could theoretically shift dynamics, current evidence indicates significant institutional barriers to any rapid leadership change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$129,839Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s firm consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the 95.8% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military investigations and leadership adjustments, including scrutiny of senior generals, have been widely viewed as further centralization rather than signs of factional fracture. No verified challenges to authority have emerged, and past rumors of instability have repeatedly failed to materialize into action. Structural factors such as tight control over security forces, absence of organized opposition, and established succession norms reduce near-term risks. While unforeseen events like health developments, severe economic shocks, or external crises could theoretically shift dynamics, current evidence indicates significant institutional barriers to any rapid leadership change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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