Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military and party purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia framed as anti-corruption discipline enforcement, has reinforced trader expectations of continued stability in the one-party system. These actions have neutralized circulating rumors of factional resistance without producing evidence of organized challenges, consistent with the historical absence of successful coups against sitting leadership since 1949. The opaque command structure and emphasis on loyalty further limit visible signs of elite fracture ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. While acute economic pressures, unexpected leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions could theoretically prompt shifts before the end of 2026, no such verifiable catalysts have emerged to date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$129,839 Объем
$129,839 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$129,839 Объем
$129,839 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military and party purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia framed as anti-corruption discipline enforcement, has reinforced trader expectations of continued stability in the one-party system. These actions have neutralized circulating rumors of factional resistance without producing evidence of organized challenges, consistent with the historical absence of successful coups against sitting leadership since 1949. The opaque command structure and emphasis on loyalty further limit visible signs of elite fracture ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. While acute economic pressures, unexpected leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions could theoretically prompt shifts before the end of 2026, no such verifiable catalysts have emerged to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$129,839Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military and party purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia framed as anti-corruption discipline enforcement, has reinforced trader expectations of continued stability in the one-party system. These actions have neutralized circulating rumors of factional resistance without producing evidence of organized challenges, consistent with the historical absence of successful coups against sitting leadership since 1949. The opaque command structure and emphasis on loyalty further limit visible signs of elite fracture ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. While acute economic pressures, unexpected leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions could theoretically prompt shifts before the end of 2026, no such verifiable catalysts have emerged to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$129,839Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military and party purges, including the early 2026 investigation of longtime ally General Zhang Youxia framed as anti-corruption discipline enforcement, has reinforced trader expectations of continued stability in the one-party system. These actions have neutralized circulating rumors of factional resistance without producing evidence of organized challenges, consistent with the historical absence of successful coups against sitting leadership since 1949. The opaque command structure and emphasis on loyalty further limit visible signs of elite fracture ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. While acute economic pressures, unexpected leadership health developments, or undetected internal divisions could theoretically prompt shifts before the end of 2026, no such verifiable catalysts have emerged to date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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