Putin’s 2020 constitutional amendments reset term limits to allow two additional six-year terms after his 2024 reelection, extending legal eligibility through 2036 and anchoring trader expectations of continuity through the end of 2026. Centralized control over security services, the legislature, regional elites, and state media has prevented any organized succession movement or elite defections, while recent verifiable actions—including legislation authorizing troop deployments, high-level diplomacy with China, and public addresses—demonstrate uninterrupted authority. No incapacitating health developments or institutional challenges have emerged in the past several months, and polling shows sustained domestic approval near 80 percent. The short remaining window to December 2026 further limits realistic pathways for removal absent unforeseen shocks, sustaining the 88.5 percent implied probability against an early departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПутин уйдет с поста президента России к 31 декабря 2026 года?
Путин уйдет с поста президента России к 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$4,270,274 Объем
$4,270,274 Объем
Да
$4,270,274 Объем
$4,270,274 Объем
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin’s 2020 constitutional amendments reset term limits to allow two additional six-year terms after his 2024 reelection, extending legal eligibility through 2036 and anchoring trader expectations of continuity through the end of 2026. Centralized control over security services, the legislature, regional elites, and state media has prevented any organized succession movement or elite defections, while recent verifiable actions—including legislation authorizing troop deployments, high-level diplomacy with China, and public addresses—demonstrate uninterrupted authority. No incapacitating health developments or institutional challenges have emerged in the past several months, and polling shows sustained domestic approval near 80 percent. The short remaining window to December 2026 further limits realistic pathways for removal absent unforeseen shocks, sustaining the 88.5 percent implied probability against an early departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы