Russia's tightly controlled political system continues to anchor Vladimir Putin's position as president, with his current term extending through 2030 and the next presidential vote scheduled for 2028. The September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections, framed by the Kremlin as a referendum on the Ukraine conflict, proceeded under heavy restrictions that excluded most opposition voices and produced the expected supermajority for United Russia. Putin's approval ratings have eased modestly amid war fatigue and economic pressures, yet remain elevated, and no public signals of resignation, health concerns, or succession planning have emerged in recent weeks. The newly elected parliament will serve through 2031, overlapping any potential leadership transition and reinforcing institutional continuity. Traders monitoring this market therefore weigh entrenched elite loyalty, electoral mechanics, and the absence of immediate catalysts against longer-term uncertainties such as battlefield developments or economic strain.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPutin delivers televised address ahead of 2026 State Duma elections
December 31, 2026 dips to 5%2%
Putin's address emphasized national unity, electoral participation, and ongoing leadership during a critical election period, reinforcing market confidence in his continued presidency through late 2026.




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