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icon for Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

icon for Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?

$67,803 Объем

30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$67,803 Объем

Polymarket

30 сентября

$21,231 Объем

3%

31 декабря

$9,173 Объем

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian appointed Abbas Araghchi as foreign minister in August 2024, and he has remained in the role through mid-August 2026 while handling nuclear diplomacy, U.S. talks, and responses to regional conflicts. Reports from April and May 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf explored Araghchi’s removal amid claims he coordinated nuclear discussions directly with Revolutionary Guard leaders, bypassing elected officials. In early August 2026, a senior lawmaker stated that parliamentarians were collecting evidence for potential impeachment proceedings tied to the government’s handling of negotiations and security issues. Araghchi has continued issuing official statements on diplomacy and bilateral relations in recent weeks. These institutional frictions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security elements, set against ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and leadership transitions, shape trader assessments of removal risks before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$67,803
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian appointed Abbas Araghchi as foreign minister in August 2024, and he has remained in the role through mid-August 2026 while handling nuclear diplomacy, U.S. talks, and responses to regional conflicts. Reports from April and May 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf explored Araghchi’s removal amid claims he coordinated nuclear discussions directly with Revolutionary Guard leaders, bypassing elected officials. In early August 2026, a senior lawmaker stated that parliamentarians were collecting evidence for potential impeachment proceedings tied to the government’s handling of negotiations and security issues. Araghchi has continued issuing official statements on diplomacy and bilateral relations in recent weeks. These institutional frictions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security elements, set against ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and leadership transitions, shape trader assessments of removal risks before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$67,803
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 16%, за ним следует «30 сентября» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 16¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $67.8K с момента запуска рынка Jul 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» — «31 декабря» с 16%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 сентября» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Аббас Аракчи покинет пост министра иностранных дел Ирана...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.