Despite reports in May 2026 of tightened personal security around President Putin and concerns over potential internal plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, Russian leadership continues to project stability with no verified elite defections or organized military challenges. Putin has maintained public appearances, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, while the ongoing Ukraine conflict and centralized control over security services limit opportunities for coordinated action. Traders price a coup attempt this year at just 8.5 percent, consistent with the regime's historical resilience against internal threats and the absence of any credible successor faction or institutional trigger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$39,781 Объем
$39,781 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
$39,781 Объем
$39,781 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite reports in May 2026 of tightened personal security around President Putin and concerns over potential internal plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, Russian leadership continues to project stability with no verified elite defections or organized military challenges. Putin has maintained public appearances, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, while the ongoing Ukraine conflict and centralized control over security services limit opportunities for coordinated action. Traders price a coup attempt this year at just 8.5 percent, consistent with the regime's historical resilience against internal threats and the absence of any credible successor faction or institutional trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Объем
$39,781Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite reports in May 2026 of tightened personal security around President Putin and concerns over potential internal plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, Russian leadership continues to project stability with no verified elite defections or organized military challenges. Putin has maintained public appearances, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, while the ongoing Ukraine conflict and centralized control over security services limit opportunities for coordinated action. Traders price a coup attempt this year at just 8.5 percent, consistent with the regime's historical resilience against internal threats and the absence of any credible successor faction or institutional trigger.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$39,781Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite reports in May 2026 of tightened personal security around President Putin and concerns over potential internal plots linked to figures like Sergei Shoigu, Russian leadership continues to project stability with no verified elite defections or organized military challenges. Putin has maintained public appearances, including at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, while the ongoing Ukraine conflict and centralized control over security services limit opportunities for coordinated action. Traders price a coup attempt this year at just 8.5 percent, consistent with the regime's historical resilience against internal threats and the absence of any credible successor faction or institutional trigger.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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